{"id": "b8b4c16b3cac", "room": "4938759b02b5", "text": "Rules weaken because officials who leave the agency for industry can return, so they water down rules.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/b8b4c16b3cac-rules-weaken-officials-leave-agency", "json": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/b8b4c16b3cac.json", "embed": "https://truecauses.org/embed/4938759b02b5/b8b4c16b3cac", "room_url": "https://truecauses.org/d/4938759b02b5", "question": "Why does environmental regulation get weakened?", "kind": "barriers", "relation": "significantly influences", "source": "models", "demonstration": true, "room_is": "a room of language models — a demonstration, not a finding", "stands": false, "stage": 6, "sealed": true, "root": false, "shortlisted": true, "leads_to": [], "comes_from": [], "links": [{"pair": "2adbbd4c1be4>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "2adbbd4c1be4", "text": "Rulemaking notice periods happen while I'm sanding fenders, so I never get to comment.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/2adbbd4c1be4-rulemaking-notice-periods-happen-sanding"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 0, "no": 8, "abstain": 4}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "n", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "n", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "n", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "n", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "a", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "72e1a8d0ce04>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "72e1a8d0ce04", "text": "Rules get written for big corporations, and small shops like mine can't afford to follow them, so they get gutted.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/72e1a8d0ce04-rules-written-corporations-shops-afford"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 0, "no": 4, "abstain": 8}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "n", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "a", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "a", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "78d7c237d3da>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "78d7c237d3da", "text": "Because lawmakers cut the enforcement budget to save money, making inspectors like me scarce and enforcement weaker.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/78d7c237d3da-lawmakers-cut-enforcement-budget-save"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 1, "no": 3, "abstain": 8}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "a", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "81f4ac7bfef6>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "81f4ac7bfef6", "text": "Flares happen at night when I'm sleeping, but I still pay the medical bills when my son has asthma attacks from the haze.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/81f4ac7bfef6-flares-happen-night-sleeping-pay-medical"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 1, "no": 4, "abstain": 7}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "n", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "y", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "a", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "99f8f21b0b7f>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "99f8f21b0b7f", "text": "The studies driving repeal are funded by industry, so the evidence base itself skews toward cutting rules.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/99f8f21b0b7f-studies-driving-repeal-funded-industry"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 6, "abstain": 4}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "y", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "n", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "n", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "aa11121c641b>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "aa11121c641b", "text": "Weakened environmental regulation often occurs due to powerful economic interests lobbying against stricter laws.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/aa11121c641b-weakened-environmental-regulation-occurs"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 1, "abstain": 9}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "a", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "y", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "a", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "ad2774a2d21c>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "ad2774a2d21c", "text": "Our teams weaken regulations to clear permits faster.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/ad2774a2d21c-teams-weaken-regulations-permits-faster"}, "verdict": "contested", "by": "cross-group", "votes": {"yes": 4, "no": 4, "abstain": 3}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "y", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "n", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "y", "llm-mistral-nemo": "y", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>2adbbd4c1be4", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "2adbbd4c1be4", "text": "Rulemaking notice periods happen while I'm sanding fenders, so I never get to comment.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/2adbbd4c1be4-rulemaking-notice-periods-happen-sanding"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 0, "no": 6, "abstain": 6}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "n", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "n", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>72e1a8d0ce04", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "72e1a8d0ce04", "text": "Rules get written for big corporations, and small shops like mine can't afford to follow them, so they get gutted.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/72e1a8d0ce04-rules-written-corporations-shops-afford"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 5, "abstain": 5}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "y", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "n", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "n", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "a", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>78d7c237d3da", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "78d7c237d3da", "text": "Because lawmakers cut the enforcement budget to save money, making inspectors like me scarce and enforcement weaker.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/78d7c237d3da-lawmakers-cut-enforcement-budget-save"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 6, "abstain": 4}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "n", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "y", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "n", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>81f4ac7bfef6", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "81f4ac7bfef6", "text": "Flares happen at night when I'm sleeping, but I still pay the medical bills when my son has asthma attacks from the haze.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/81f4ac7bfef6-flares-happen-night-sleeping-pay-medical"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 1, "no": 6, "abstain": 5}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "n", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "n", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>99f8f21b0b7f", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "99f8f21b0b7f", "text": "The studies driving repeal are funded by industry, so the evidence base itself skews toward cutting rules.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/99f8f21b0b7f-studies-driving-repeal-funded-industry"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 2, "abstain": 8}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "y", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "a", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "a"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>aa11121c641b", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "aa11121c641b", "text": "Weakened environmental regulation often occurs due to powerful economic interests lobbying against stricter laws.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/aa11121c641b-weakened-environmental-regulation-occurs"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 4, "no": 0, "abstain": 8}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "y", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "y", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "y", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "a", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "a"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>ad2774a2d21c", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "ad2774a2d21c", "text": "Our teams weaken regulations to clear permits faster.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/ad2774a2d21c-teams-weaken-regulations-permits-faster"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 4, "no": 2, "abstain": 6}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "n", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "y", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "y", "llm-mistral-nemo": "y", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "a"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>c722f7648d49", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "c722f7648d49", "text": "Rules get weakened because full enforcement would bankrupt small shops, and politicians know it.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/c722f7648d49-rules-weakened-enforcement-bankrupt"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 1, "no": 4, "abstain": 7}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "n", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "y", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "a", "llm-solar-mini4": "n"}}, {"pair": "b8b4c16b3cac>e082a00e1c66", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "e082a00e1c66", "text": "Industry tests drafts with ex-regulators, so the final rules already have known workarounds.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/e082a00e1c66-industry-tests-drafts-ex-regulators"}, "verdict": "contested", "by": "cross-group", "votes": {"yes": 6, "no": 3, "abstain": 2}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "y", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "y", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "n", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "y", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "y", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "y"}}, {"pair": "c722f7648d49>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "c722f7648d49", "text": "Rules get weakened because full enforcement would bankrupt small shops, and politicians know it.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/c722f7648d49-rules-weakened-enforcement-bankrupt"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 1, "no": 3, "abstain": 8}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "y", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "n", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "a", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "a", "llm-mistral-nemo": "n", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "n", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "a", "llm-solar-mini4": "a"}}, {"pair": "e082a00e1c66>b8b4c16b3cac", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "e082a00e1c66", "text": "Industry tests drafts with ex-regulators, so the final rules already have known workarounds.", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/4938759b02b5/e082a00e1c66-industry-tests-drafts-ex-regulators"}, "verdict": "open", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 7, "no": 0, "abstain": 5}, "seats": {"llm-command-r7b-12-2024": "a", "llm-deepseek-v4-flash": "a", "llm-glm-flash-latest": "y", "llm-gpt-oss-20b": "a", "llm-laguna-xs-2-1": "y", "llm-llama-3-2-1b-instruc": "a", "llm-ministral-3b-2512": "y", "llm-mistral-nemo": "y", "llm-mistral-small-24b-in": "a", "llm-nemotron-3-nano-30b": "y", "llm-qwen3-7-flash": "y", "llm-solar-mini4": "y"}}], "atlas": {"id": "nba14a949ddc252c2", "url": "https://truecauses.org/atlas?q=Rules%20weaken%20because%20officials%20who%20leave%20the%20agency%20for%20indu"}, "note": "a group’s judgement, not a measurement. Demo room", "attribution": "Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/4938759b02b5"}