{"id": "d85e221", "room": "a0141f0", "text": "The forecast is made by people who never see a peak", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/d85e221-forecast-people-peak", "json": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/d85e221.json", "embed": "https://truecauses.org/embed/a0141f0/d85e221", "room_url": "https://truecauses.org/d/a0141f0", "question": "Why are deliveries late?", "kind": "barriers", "relation": "significantly influences", "source": "walkthrough", "demonstration": true, "room_is": "a walkthrough with stand-ins — a demonstration, not a finding", "stands": false, "stage": 6, "sealed": true, "root": true, "shortlisted": true, "leads_to": ["93d3446"], "comes_from": [], "links": [{"pair": "0d38807>d85e221", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "0d38807", "text": "We spend more time fixing errors than we would preventing them", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/0d38807-spend-time-fixing-errors-preventing"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 1, "no": 13, "abstain": 1}}, {"pair": "3d349c7>d85e221", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "3d349c7", "text": "Schedules change too late to adapt", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/3d349c7-schedules-change-late-adapt"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 12, "abstain": 1}}, {"pair": "54e1442>d85e221", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "54e1442", "text": "Fixes are patched locally and never shared", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/54e1442-fixes-patched-locally-shared"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 11, "abstain": 2}}, {"pair": "57a4a08>d85e221", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "57a4a08", "text": "The best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zone", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/57a4a08-pickers-moved-late-learns-zone"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "cross-group", "votes": {"yes": 5, "no": 24, "abstain": 0}}, {"pair": "5a998e0>d85e221", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "5a998e0", "text": "The handheld takes four 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{"yes": 0, "no": 15, "abstain": 0}}, {"pair": "d85e221>5a998e0", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "5a998e0", "text": "The handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scans", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/5a998e0-handheld-takes-confirm-people-batch"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 3, "no": 10, "abstain": 2}}, {"pair": "d85e221>74bfe00", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "74bfe00", "text": "The pick list order does not match the aisle order", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/74bfe00-pick-list-match-aisle"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 3, "no": 12, "abstain": 0}}, {"pair": "d85e221>93d3446", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "93d3446", "text": "Targets reward speed over accuracy", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/93d3446-targets-reward-speed-accuracy"}, "verdict": "yes", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 12, "no": 1, "abstain": 2}}, {"pair": "d85e221>deee214", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "deee214", "text": "Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrapped", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/deee214-checks-pallet-wrapped"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 2, "no": 12, "abstain": 1}}, {"pair": "d85e221>ecf4839", "role": "cause", "other": {"id": "ecf4839", "text": "Data lives in three systems that disagree", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/ecf4839-data-lives-systems-disagree"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 3, "no": 10, "abstain": 2}}, {"pair": "deee214>d85e221", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "deee214", "text": "Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrapped", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/deee214-checks-pallet-wrapped"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 3, "no": 11, "abstain": 1}}, {"pair": "ecf4839>d85e221", "role": "effect", "other": {"id": "ecf4839", "text": "Data lives in three systems that disagree", "url": "https://truecauses.org/c/a0141f0/ecf4839-data-lives-systems-disagree"}, "verdict": "no", "by": "panel", "votes": {"yes": 1, "no": 13, "abstain": 1}}], "atlas": {"id": "n6e4f5af90389c28c", "url": "https://truecauses.org/atlas?q=The%20forecast%20is%20made%20by%20people%20who%20never%20see%20a%20peak"}, "note": "a group’s judgement, not a measurement. Demo room", "attribution": "Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/a0141f0"}