Why does a steady life take more than it used to?
a walkthrough with stand-ins — a demonstration, not a finding · 27 certified links · outlined boxes are the roots · tap a claim to read it in full
Showing every action the room judged: it acts directly on 1 of the 6 root causes. It does not act directly on 5.
Consolidation removes the employer competition that raised wages → A single wage no longer supports a householdConsolidation removes the employer competition that raised wages → Cash flow, not profit, decides whether anyone is hiredNobody in a ministry has ever met a payroll → What used to be a job is now a series of contractsSo nobody trains and everyone complains about skills → What used to be a job is now a series of contractsSo nobody trains and everyone complains about skills → We would pay more if the work carried the priceEmployers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cut → A machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liabilityThe things that used to be bought once are now rented forever → So nobody trains and everyone complains about skillsEnergy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did not → Consolidation removes the employer competition that raised wagesEnergy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did not → Every cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed onEvery new rule consolidates the market a little more → Energy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did notThe rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first place → Business representation is dominated by firms unlike oursThe rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first place → Hiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgageA machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liability → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesAssets rose faster than wages for four decades → Energy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did notAssets rose faster than wages for four decades → Every cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed onHiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgage → So we use contracts and agencies and everyone losesA large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close us → Employers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cutA large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close us → Every new rule consolidates the market a little moreEvery cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed on → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesSo we use contracts and agencies and everyone loses → So nobody trains and everyone complains about skillsNobody in a ministry has ever met a payrollNobody in a ministry hasever met a payrollThe things that used to be bought once are now rented foreverThe things that used to bebought once are now rentedforeverThe rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first placeThe rules make dismissalcostly, so we do not hirein the first placewhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYA large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close usA large competitor canabsorb a regulation thatwould close us②what the shown actions do to this root causeREDUCED BY 1 ACTIONEmployers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cutEmployers' taxes arecharged on the person, sopeople are the thing to cutwhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYEvery new rule consolidates the market a little moreEvery new rule consolidatesthe market a little morewhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYBusiness representation is dominated by firms unlike oursBusiness representation isdominated by firms unlikeoursHiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgageHiring someone permanentlynow feels like signing amortgagewhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYA machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liabilityA machine is a capitalallowance and a worker is aliabilitywhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYSo we use contracts and agencies and everyone losesSo we use contracts andagencies and everyone losesAssets rose faster than wages for four decadesAssets rose faster thanwages for four decadespart of a feedback loop⟳Every cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed onEvery cost that rose waspassed to us and could notbe passed onpart of a feedback loop⟳Energy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did notEnergy, rent and insurancetripled and the invoice didnotpart of a feedback loop⟳So nobody trains and everyone complains about skillsSo nobody trains andeveryone complains aboutskillsConsolidation removes the employer competition that raised wagesConsolidation removes theemployer competition thatraised wagesWe would pay more if the work carried the priceWe would pay more if thework carried the priceWhat used to be a job is now a series of contractsWhat used to be a job isnow a series of contractsA single wage no longer supports a householdA single wage no longersupports a householdCash flow, not profit, decides whether anyone is hiredCash flow, not profit,decides whether anyone ishired
WHAT WAS PREDICTED TO FOLLOW
Each number on the map marks a root cause that action reduces.
① Scale compliance to the size of the firm
no prediction about this action yet
② Enforce payment terms on large buyers
we expect: a small firm can plan on being paid when it was promised
measured by: % of invoices from large buyers paid within terms
due 22 Jun 2027
guesses: the room: 60 (median of 15, spread 35 to 85)
③ Tax people and machines on the same basis
no prediction about this action yet
A map from True Causes: a group’s judgement, not a measurement.