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As data: every judged pair in this room (CSV). Each claim has its own address, /c/435cc33/<card>, listed under the map.
Credit when you publish: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/435cc33
THE QUESTION

Why does school attendance keep falling?

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why
At stage close one nominee enters by random draw and the rest by nomination count, at most one per stakeholder class. A model checks only whether the page is about the same subject — never whether it proves the claim. That judgement is the room's, and a nomination nobody else stands behind takes no seat.
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Some families keep children home on days they cannot afford lunch
I mean the trend over three years, not this term.
cluster 2
also discussed during · Generate (1) · Cluster (1) · Map (1)
Nothing said yet.
CLUSTER 1
Nobody at school knows which pupils are young carers
5 votesdiscuss
A pupil's absence record follows them but the reasons do not
To be precise: this is about the school's approach, not any family.
7 votesdiscuss
CLUSTER 2
Some families keep children home on days they cannot afford lunch
I mean the trend over three years, not this term.
Fines are issued to families who cannot pay them
I mean the trend over three years, not this term.
6 votesdiscuss
NOT CLUSTERED
Attendance drops sharply after the first exclusion
Meaning the persistent absentees, not the odd day off.
2 votesdiscuss
Break is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longer
3 votesdiscuss
The school is measured on attendance percentage, not on who is missing
I mean the trend over three years, not this term.
0 votesdiscuss
Uniform rules are enforced at the gate and pupils are sent home
To be precise: this is about the school's approach, not any family.
2 votesdiscuss
The first lesson on Monday is the most missed of the week
13 votesdiscuss
The first contact home is a warning, never a question
0 votesdiscuss
Sanctions escalate faster than any support does
2 votes
↳ nominated for a seat: https://example.org/ops-incident-review.pdf could not read it (HTTPError) 1 of 2 behind it
discuss
Toilets are locked during lessons and some pupils will not risk it
3 votesdiscuss
Older siblings' history with the school shapes the family's attitude
12 votesdiscuss
Pupils say nobody would notice if they were not there
Meaning the persistent absentees, not the odd day off.
8 votesdiscuss
Teachers mark a late arrival the same as a full absence
5 votesdiscuss
Pupils with a friend absent are more likely to be absent themselves
Pupils who fall behind stop coming rather than sit in lessons they cannot follow
3 votesdiscuss
A quarter of absences are medical appointments booked in school time
7 votesdiscuss
The bus is unreliable in the mornings for the estate furthest away
1 votesdiscuss
Reintegration after a long absence is left to the pupil
7 votesdiscuss
The pastoral team lost two posts in the last budget
2 votesdiscuss
Cover lessons with a supply teacher are the ones pupils skip
5 votesdiscuss
Letters home are the same template whatever the reason for absence
4 votesdiscuss
Attendance officers spend the day on the phone, not in the building
I mean the trend over three years, not this term.
1 votesdiscuss
Parents contact the school only when the school has contacted them first
14 votesdiscuss
Anxiety is the reason given most, and there is a waiting list to see anyone
9 votesdiscuss
Form tutors have five minutes with thirty pupils
2 votesdiscuss
Year 9 is where the pattern starts, and nothing changes in Year 9