THE QUESTION
Why do the people behind atrocities escape justice?
Propose what to do, then judge whether each action would move each root.
Sealed 9 days ago: this room no longer knows who sat in it; only its steward is still named. What it concluded stays.
30 at the table (29 simulated) · 3 actions proposed against 6 root causes. Add one, then judge whether each action moves each cause.
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Score the roots first
why
The method's own practice, before any action is proposed: each root cause is scored 1–5 on how feasible it is to address, how much impact addressing it would have, and how likely it is to resolve by itself with no intervention. Priority goes to roots with high impact, high feasibility and low likelihood of fixing themselves — priority = impact + feasibility − likelihood. Scores are averaged across the group and shown with how many scored.
1 = low, 5 = high. Your own scores; the group's averages beside them.
| root cause | feasible | impact | fixes itself | priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nobody coordinated, so we relived it eleven times | – | – | – | – |
| The people in danger are never in the room where it is decided | – | – | – | – |
| We were warned to be careful because the diaspora is emotional | – | – | – | – |
| Justice is offered as a substitute for protection | – | – | – | – |
| Every state judges the case by what it costs them | – | – | – | – |
| Acting early is politically costly and acting late is not punished | – | – | – | – |
Would each action move each root cause?
Down the side: the actions people proposed. Across the top: the root causes the map found. Every square is one vote on one question — would this action significantly reduce that cause? One side has to reach 75% of the votes cast to settle it; short of that the square stays split. Each square shows how its votes fell — yes / worse / no — and a square is settled when one of those reaches three quarters of them.
why
Answered at 75% of votes cast, like every other question here. Split means people voted and neither side reached that bar — it is a result, not a queue, and it stays split until enough people change their minds. A square nobody settles stays undecided; it never turns into a no. Judging each pair on its own is what stops a popular action being credited with fixing things it does not touch.
| ACTION | ROOT CAUSES · does the action on the left reduce it? | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nobody coordinated, so we relived it eleven times | The people in danger are never in the room where it is decided | We were warned to be careful because the diaspora is emotional | Justice is offered as a substitute for protection | Every state judges the case by what it costs them | Acting early is politically costly and acting late is not punished | |
| One coordinated testimony, shared, instead of eleven in focus ↑ · close ✕ | ✗ no, it does not 7 yes / 0 worse / 22 no | not decided yet | ✗ no, it does not 5 yes / 0 worse / 24 no | ✗ no, it does not 7 yes / 0 worse / 22 no | ✓ yes, it reduces this 23 yes / 0 worse / 6 no | not decided yet |
| Fund local organisations directly, with the insurance barrier removed discuss | ✓ yes, it reduces this 25 yes / 0 worse / 4 no | not decided yet | ✗ no, it does not 5 yes / 0 worse / 24 no | ✗ no, it does not 5 yes / 0 worse / 24 no | ✗ no, it does not 2 yes / 0 worse / 27 no | not decided yet |
| Report back to every source what their evidence produced discuss | ⚑ the group split 20 yes / 0 worse / 9 no | not decided yet | ✓ yes, it reduces this 24 yes / 0 worse / 5 no | ✓ yes, it reduces this 25 yes / 0 worse / 4 no | ⚑ the group split 21 yes / 0 worse / 8 no | not decided yet |
Highest leverage so far
Report back to every source what their evidence produced reduces 2 of 6 root causes
One coordinated testimony, shared, instead of eleven reduces 1 of 6 root causes
Fund local organisations directly, with the insurance barrier removed reduces 1 of 6 root causes
THE ACTIONS ON THE MAP
Showing every action the room judged: it acts directly on 4 of the 6 root causes. It does not act directly on 2.
Read from the squares the room settled at Actions, nothing else. A root in green is reduced by at least one of the shown actions; in grey, none of them acts on it directly; a red outline means one of them makes it worse.
Share this view: as a picture · as a live map for another site
Each number on the map marks a root cause that action reduces.
① One coordinated testimony, shared, instead of eleven
② Fund local organisations directly, with the insurance barrier removed
③ Report back to every source what their evidence produced
FROM ACTIONS TO A PLAN
The grid judged each action on its own. A plan is a set of them the room would carry out together.
Members put plans together from the actions that reduce a root cause, and the room compares the plans two at a time, at three quarters of the votes cast, as it judged everything else. Each plan shows which root causes it acts on directly, which it does not, and which it makes worse.
The steward can open a plan comparison.
What we expect to follow
Predictions about the actions: what each should change, how to measure it, and when to check. On the date, someone who was in the room writes what actually happened beside it.
why
A map says which actions move which causes. It does not say whether anyone did them, or whether anything changed. An entry here is a prediction with a date and something to measure, written after the map settled. When the date comes, what actually happened is written beside it and the prediction stays as it was: a wrong one is the useful kind. Nobody voted on any of this and it changes nothing the room found.
due 24 Mar 2027
actionReport back to every source what their evidence produced
we expectpeople who took a risk to report something hear what became of it
measured by% of evidence submissions answered with what it was used for
guessesthe room: 26 (median of 15, spread 10 to 50)