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7/7 · Акције · преглед: Груписање
особа: 30 · идеја: 39
пробни пролаз · не рачуна се
препреке · свако са линком · на јавном списку · федерација укључена
води: њен водитељ (запечаћено)
особа: 30 · идеја: 39 · 2 групе · 3 собе у федерацији
Пасош → · Логика → · запис
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На другом сајту, као жива мапа:
Као слика: https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0/map.svg
Као подаци: сви оцењени парови у овој соби (CSV). Свака тврдња има своју адресу, /c/71b90d0/<card>, наведену испод мапе.
Наведите извор када објављујете: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0
ПИТАЊЕ

Why do false claims spread faster than corrections?

Групишите картице које сматрате сличним. Кластери олакшавају читање; ништа не одлучују.

Гледате као гост. Унесите корисничко име да бисте се придружили и учествовали.
Кластери настају из сличности, имена долазе на крају
Устаљен редослед: повежите парове идеја које сматрате сличним — везе су симетричне (А~Б је исто што и Б~А; смер никад није важан), а веза важи када је направи довољно чланова (2).
зашто
Везе су симетричне — А~Б је исто што и Б~А. Кластери су скупови који настају из веза које важе, и само настали кластер може да добије име, и то од особе. Уз ваше везе стоји ✕ за повлачење; туђе везе не можете да уклоните. Кластери уређују зид и никад не ограничавају гласање — две картице које износе исту ТВРДЊУ спајају се, и то у фази Појашњавање.
Везе и имена се праве док је фаза Груписање отворена; водитељево ← је поново отвара.
затвори ✕
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow
кластер 3
Још ништа није речено.
кластер без имена — дајте му име ако група у њему види заједничку нит, или га оставите без имена (2)
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly
~ Independence is asser…Independence is asserted rather than structurally arranged (18)
~ Being wrong in public…Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow (17)
дискутуј
Independence is asserted rather than structurally arranged
~ So the incentive is t…So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly (18)
дискутуј
кластер без имена — дајте му име ако група у њему види заједничку нит, или га оставите без имена (2)
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it
~ An error admitted ear…An error admitted early would have cost far less than one admitted late (15)
дискутуј
An error admitted early would have cost far less than one admitted late
~ Emergency powers susp…Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it (15)
дискутуј
кластер без имена — дајте му име ако група у њему види заједничку нит, или га оставите без имена (2)
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest
~ Declaring an interest…Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one (13)
дискутуј
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one
~ Anyone with relevant …Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest (13)
дискутуј
кластер без имена — дајте му име ако група у њему види заједничку нит, или га оставите без имена (2)
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow
~ Guidance was stated m…Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported (22)
~ So the incentive is t…So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly (17)
у фокусу ↑ · затвори ✕
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported
~ Being wrong in public…Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow (22)
~ Reversing guidance is…Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie (15)
~ Nobody is assigned to…Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong (15)
дискутуј
· још није у кластеру (31)
Fact-checking grants come from the bodies whose claims are checked
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong
~ The models were right…The models were right about direction and wrong about magnitude, and only magnitude was reported (14)
~ Advice must be given …Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice (13)
~ Guidance was stated m…Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported (15)
дискутуј
An advisory committee's dissent is recorded and not published
A negative result is not publishable, so the record is skewed
Data behind the guidance is not released with it
Saying 'we do not know yet' is heard as incompetence
A fact-checker who contradicts a funder does not get renewed
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice
~ Nobody is assigned to…Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong (13)
дискусија (1)
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed
Nobody funds the checking of the checkers
Committee members are chosen partly for being unlikely to make trouble
The press asks for a number and prints the number without the range
Political timelines and evidence timelines are different lengths
The evidence base is built from studies designed by interested parties
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days
Nobody outside can reproduce the analysis that produced the number
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline
The same handful of experts sit on every committee
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie
~ Guidance was stated m…Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported (15)
дискутуј
Journals gain nothing from publishing a correction
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined
A hedged message is reported as no message at all
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides
The models were right about direction and wrong about magnitude, and only magnitude was reported
~ Nobody is assigned to…Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong (14)
дискутуј
Preprints move faster than review and are quoted as settled
The team that wrote the guidance reviews the guidance
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it