True Causes
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다른 사이트에 실시간 지도로:
이미지로: https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0/map.svg
데이터로: 이 방에서 판정한 모든 쌍 (CSV). 각 주장에는 고유 주소(/c/71b90d0/<card>)가 있으며, 지도 아래에 나열되어 있습니다.
게시할 때 출처 표기: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0
질문

Why do false claims spread faster than corrections?

가장 중요한 것에 스티커를 쓰세요. 근거가 있는 아이디어는 예약된 자리를 얻을 수 있습니다.

게스트로 보는 중. 참여하려면 닉네임을 입력하세요.
내 스티커
아이디어 하나에 한 장, 모두 5장. 최소 한 표는 써야 합니다.
놓친 아이디어를 위해 예약된 자리가 5개 있습니다. 링크와 함께 하나를 추천하세요. 2명이 출처가 관련 있다고 하면 반영됩니다.
이유
단계가 끝나면 추천된 것 중 하나는 무작위 추첨으로, 나머지는 추천 수에 따라 들어갑니다. 구분마다 최대 하나입니다. 모델은 페이지가 같은 주제를 다루는지만 확인하며, 그 페이지가 주장을 증명하는지는 확인하지 않습니다. 그 판단은 방이 합니다. 아무도 지지하지 않는 추천은 자리를 얻지 못합니다.
닫기 ✕
Preprints move faster than review and are quoted as settled
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
아직 아무 말도 없습니다.
묶음 1
Independence is asserted rather than structurally arranged
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly
Not an accusation: an institution can do this with everyone acting in good faith.
묶음 2
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one
To be precise: this is about the mechanism, not anyone's motives.
묶음 3
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported
묶음 4
An error admitted early would have cost far less than one admitted late
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it
묶이지 않음
Fact-checking grants come from the bodies whose claims are checked
Not an accusation: an institution can do this with everyone acting in good faith.
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong
10표
↳ 예약된 자리에 추천됨: https://example.org/ops-incident-review.pdf could not read it (HTTPError) 지지 1/2명
논의하기
An advisory committee's dissent is recorded and not published
A negative result is not publishable, so the record is skewed
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
Data behind the guidance is not released with it
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
Saying 'we do not know yet' is heard as incompetence
To be precise: this is about the mechanism, not anyone's motives.
A fact-checker who contradicts a funder does not get renewed
Meaning the general pattern, not one case.
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed
Nobody funds the checking of the checkers
Committee members are chosen partly for being unlikely to make trouble
The press asks for a number and prints the number without the range
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
Political timelines and evidence timelines are different lengths
The evidence base is built from studies designed by interested parties
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
Nobody outside can reproduce the analysis that produced the number
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline
The same handful of experts sit on every committee
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie
Not an accusation: an institution can do this with everyone acting in good faith.
Journals gain nothing from publishing a correction
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
A hedged message is reported as no message at all
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides
The models were right about direction and wrong about magnitude, and only magnitude was reported
Meaning the general pattern, not one case.
Preprints move faster than review and are quoted as settled
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
The team that wrote the guidance reviews the guidance
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it