True Causes
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On another site, as a live map:
As a picture: https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0/map.svg
As data: every judged pair in this room (CSV). Each claim has its own address, /c/71b90d0/<card>, listed under the map.
Credit when you publish: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0
THE QUESTION

Why do false claims spread faster than corrections?

Does one significantly influence the other? Three quarters of the votes cast decide.

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Questions are shared out between groups, so you get the ones your group was given — not all 180.
why
Nobody could answer several hundred pairs. Each pair goes to one group; a pair that splits is then referred to other groups, so it can appear in your list later even though it started elsewhere. The settled count includes every group's work, which is why it climbs faster than your own list shrinks.
177 / 180 settled 0 for you to answer
Last tally: 177 decided · 0 escalated to cross-group panels · 0 contested · 3 below quorum — panels need at least max(2, 75% of panel) votes cast; your smallest panel has 15 members.
close ✕
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed → influences? → A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not
Nothing said yet.
Completed phase — the record of pairs and votes stands above.Check the logic ↗
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check itopendiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slowopendiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interestopendiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✓ yesdiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✓ yesdiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✓ yesdiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✓ yesdiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✓ yesdiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✓ yesdiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✓ yesdiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✓ yesdiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✓ yesdiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✓ yesdiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✓ yesdiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✓ yesdiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✓ inferreddiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✓ inferreddiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✗ nodiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it✗ nodiscuss
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ noin focus ↑ · close ✕
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong→Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed✗ nodiscuss
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not→Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice✗ nodiscuss
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides→A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not✗ nodiscuss
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice→Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides✗ nodiscuss
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed→Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→…✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→…✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→…✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✗ nodiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✗ nodiscuss
…→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✗ nodiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
…→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✗ nodiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
…→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→…✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→…✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
…→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✗ nodiscuss
…→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→…✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✗ nodiscuss
…→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
…→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✗ nodiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→…✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
…→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
…→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined✗ nodiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year✗ nodiscuss
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest→Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it✗ nodiscuss
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✗ nodiscuss
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs→So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly✗ nodiscuss
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest✗ nodiscuss
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year→…✗ nodiscuss
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly→Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie✗ nodiscuss
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow→…✗ nodiscuss
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it→Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs✗ nodiscuss