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Cita la fonte quando pubblichi: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0
LA DOMANDA

Why do false claims spread faster than corrections?

Spendi i tuoi bollini su ciò che conta di più. Un’idea con una prova può prendere un posto riservato.

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I tuoi bollini
Uno per idea, 5 in tutto. Minimo un voto.
Posti riservati alle idee trascurate: 5 — candidane una con un link, e conta quando 2 persone concordano che la fonte è pertinente.
perché
Alla chiusura della fase un candidato entra per sorteggio e gli altri in base al numero di candidature, al massimo uno per categoria di portatori di interesse. Un modello controlla solo se la pagina parla dello stesso argomento — mai se dimostra l’affermazione. Quel giudizio spetta alla stanza, e una candidatura che nessun altro sostiene non ottiene un posto.
chiudi ✕
The team that wrote the guidance reviews the guidance
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
discussa anche nella fase · Proposte (1) · Chiarimento (1)
Ancora nessun intervento.
RAGGRUPPAMENTO 1
Independence is asserted rather than structurally arranged
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly
Not an accusation: an institution can do this with everyone acting in good faith.
voti: 4discuti
RAGGRUPPAMENTO 2
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest
voti: 1discuti
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one
To be precise: this is about the mechanism, not anyone's motives.
voti: 3discuti
RAGGRUPPAMENTO 3
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow
voti: 13discuti
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported
voti: 15discuti
RAGGRUPPAMENTO 4
An error admitted early would have cost far less than one admitted late
voti: 0discuti
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it
voti: 2discuti
NON RAGGRUPPATA
Fact-checking grants come from the bodies whose claims are checked
Not an accusation: an institution can do this with everyone acting in good faith.
voti: 0discuti
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year
voti: 6discuti
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not
voti: 1discuti
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong
voti: 10
↳ candidata a un posto riservato: https://example.org/ops-incident-review.pdf could not read it (HTTPError) a sostegno: 1 su 2
discuti
An advisory committee's dissent is recorded and not published
voti: 0discuti
A negative result is not publishable, so the record is skewed
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
voti: 0discuti
Data behind the guidance is not released with it
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
voti: 0discuti
Saying 'we do not know yet' is heard as incompetence
To be precise: this is about the mechanism, not anyone's motives.
voti: 0discuti
A fact-checker who contradicts a funder does not get renewed
Meaning the general pattern, not one case.
voti: 0discuti
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice
voti: 4discuti
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed
voti: 12discuti
Nobody funds the checking of the checkers
voti: 0discuti
Committee members are chosen partly for being unlikely to make trouble
voti: 0discuti
The press asks for a number and prints the number without the range
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
voti: 0discuti
Political timelines and evidence timelines are different lengths
voti: 0discuti
The evidence base is built from studies designed by interested parties
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
voti: 0discuti
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
voti: 9discuti
Nobody outside can reproduce the analysis that produced the number
voti: 0discuti
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline
voti: 2discuti
The same handful of experts sit on every committee
voti: 0discuti
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie
Not an accusation: an institution can do this with everyone acting in good faith.
voti: 14discuti
Journals gain nothing from publishing a correction
voti: 0discuti
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
voti: 14discuti
A hedged message is reported as no message at all
voti: 0discuti
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it
voti: 14discuti
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides
voti: 7discuti
The models were right about direction and wrong about magnitude, and only magnitude was reported
Meaning the general pattern, not one case.
voti: 0discuti
Preprints move faster than review and are quoted as settled
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
voti: 0discuti
The team that wrote the guidance reviews the guidance
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it
voti: 7discuti