True Causes
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Na drugom sajtu, kao živa mapa:
Kao slika: https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0/map.svg
Kao podaci: svi ocenjeni parovi u ovoj sobi (CSV). Svaka tvrdnja ima svoju adresu, /c/71b90d0/<card>, navedenu ispod mape.
Navedite izvor kada objavljujete: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/71b90d0
PITANJE

Why do false claims spread faster than corrections?

Grupišite kartice koje smatrate sličnim. Klasteri olakšavaju čitanje; ništa ne odlučuju.

Gledate kao gost. Unesite korisničko ime da biste se pridružili i učestvovali.
Klasteri nastaju iz sličnosti, imena dolaze na kraju
Ustaljen redosled: povežite parove ideja koje smatrate sličnim — veze su simetrične (A~B je isto što i B~A; smer nikad nije važan), a veza važi kada je napravi dovoljno članova (2).
zašto
Veze su simetrične — A~B je isto što i B~A. Klasteri su skupovi koji nastaju iz veza koje važe, i samo nastali klaster može da dobije ime, i to od osobe. Uz vaše veze stoji ✕ za povlačenje; tuđe veze ne možete da uklonite. Klasteri uređuju zid i nikad ne ograničavaju glasanje — dve kartice koje iznose istu TVRDNJU spajaju se, i to u fazi Pojašnjavanje.
Veze i imena se prave dok je faza Grupisanje otvorena; voditeljevo ← je ponovo otvara.
zatvori ✕
Nobody outside can reproduce the analysis that produced the number
Još ništa nije rečeno.
klaster bez imena — dajte mu ime ako grupa u njemu vidi zajedničku nit, ili ga ostavite bez imena (2)
So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly
~ Independence is asser…Independence is asserted rather than structurally arranged (18)
~ Being wrong in public…Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow (17)
diskutuj
Independence is asserted rather than structurally arranged
~ So the incentive is t…So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly (18)
diskutuj
klaster bez imena — dajte mu ime ako grupa u njemu vidi zajedničku nit, ili ga ostavite bez imena (2)
Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it
~ An error admitted ear…An error admitted early would have cost far less than one admitted late (15)
diskutuj
An error admitted early would have cost far less than one admitted late
~ Emergency powers susp…Emergency powers suspend the checks that would have caught it (15)
diskutuj
klaster bez imena — dajte mu ime ako grupa u njemu vidi zajedničku nit, ili ga ostavite bez imena (2)
Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest
~ Declaring an interest…Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one (13)
diskutuj
Declaring an interest has replaced avoiding one
~ Anyone with relevant …Anyone with relevant expertise has funding from someone with an interest (13)
diskutuj
klaster bez imena — dajte mu ime ako grupa u njemu vidi zajedničku nit, ili ga ostavite bez imena (2)
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow
~ Guidance was stated m…Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported (22)
~ So the incentive is t…So the incentive is to revise quietly rather than loudly (17)
diskutuj
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported
~ Being wrong in public…Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow (22)
~ Reversing guidance is…Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie (15)
~ Nobody is assigned to…Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong (15)
diskutuj
· još nije u klasteru (31)
Fact-checking grants come from the bodies whose claims are checked
A minister needs an answer this week and the study reports next year
A quiet revision looks like concealment even when it is not
Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong
~ The models were right…The models were right about direction and wrong about magnitude, and only magnitude was reported (14)
~ Advice must be given …Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice (13)
~ Guidance was stated m…Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported (15)
diskutuj
An advisory committee's dissent is recorded and not published
A negative result is not publishable, so the record is skewed
Data behind the guidance is not released with it
Saying 'we do not know yet' is heard as incompetence
A fact-checker who contradicts a funder does not get renewed
Advice must be given before the evidence is complete or it is not advice
~ Nobody is assigned to…Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong (13)
diskusija (1)
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed
Nobody funds the checking of the checkers
Committee members are chosen partly for being unlikely to make trouble
The press asks for a number and prints the number without the range
Political timelines and evidence timelines are different lengths
The evidence base is built from studies designed by interested parties
Retracting a paper takes years and the claim travels in days
Nobody outside can reproduce the analysis that produced the number
Nuance is stripped between the briefing and the headline
The same handful of experts sit on every committee
Reversing guidance is used as proof the whole thing was a lie
~ Guidance was stated m…Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported (15)
diskutuj
Journals gain nothing from publishing a correction
There is no routine moment at which guidance is re-examined
A hedged message is reported as no message at all
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it
Nobody has ever measured what a late correction costs
Officials learned that hedging gets them attacked from both sides
The models were right about direction and wrong about magnitude, and only magnitude was reported
~ Nobody is assigned to…Nobody is assigned to look for evidence that the advice was wrong (14)
diskutuj
Preprints move faster than review and are quoted as settled
The team that wrote the guidance reviews the guidance
The first statement sets the frame and every revision fights it