True Causes
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7/7 · Actions
30 people · 36 ideas
walkthrough · not counted
obstacles · anyone with the link · listed publicly · federation on
stewarded by its steward (sealed)
30 people · 36 ideas · 2 groups · 3 rooms federated
Passport → · Logic → · record
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On another site, as a live map:
As a picture: https://truecauses.org/d/8a3ad28/map.svg
As data: every judged pair in this room (CSV). Each claim has its own address, /c/8a3ad28/<card>, listed under the map.
Credit when you publish: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/8a3ad28
THE QUESTION

Why can working people no longer afford a home here?

Propose what to do, then judge whether each action would move each root.

Sealed 9 days ago: this room no longer knows who sat in it; only its steward is still named. What it concluded stays.
30 at the table (29 simulated) · 3 actions proposed against 6 root causes. Add one, then judge whether each action moves each cause.
Viewing as guest. Enter a handle to join and take part.
Score the roots first
why
The method's own practice, before any action is proposed: each root cause is scored 1–5 on how feasible it is to address, how much impact addressing it would have, and how likely it is to resolve by itself with no intervention. Priority goes to roots with high impact, high feasibility and low likelihood of fixing themselves — priority = impact + feasibility − likelihood. Scores are averaged across the group and shown with how many scored.
1 = low, 5 = high. Your own scores; the group's averages beside them.
root causefeasibleimpactfixes itselfpriority
Nobody knows what the flat next door pays––––
The owner is a company in another country––––
Rents are set by what the last desperate person agreed to––––
Reporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by then––––
Nobody enforces the standards that already exist––––
Empty flats are worth more than let ones to some owners––––
Would each action move each root cause?
Down the side: the actions people proposed. Across the top: the root causes the map found. Every square is one vote on one question — would this action significantly reduce that cause? One side has to reach 75% of the votes cast to settle it; short of that the square stays split. Each square shows how its votes fell — yes / worse / no — and a square is settled when one of those reaches three quarters of them.
why
Answered at 75% of votes cast, like every other question here. Split means people voted and neither side reached that bar — it is a result, not a queue, and it stays split until enough people change their minds. A square nobody settles stays undecided; it never turns into a no. Judging each pair on its own is what stops a popular action being credited with fixing things it does not touch.
ACTIONROOT CAUSES · does the action on the left reduce it?
Nobody knows what the flat next door paysThe owner is a company in another countryRents are set by what the last desperate person agreed toReporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by thenNobody enforces the standards that already existEmpty flats are worth more than let ones to some owners
Fund one inspector per five thousand homes discuss✗ no, it does not
2 yes / 0 worse / 27 no
✗ no, it does not
2 yes / 0 worse / 27 no
not decided yet
✗ no, it does not
3 yes / 0 worse / 26 no
not decided yet
not decided yet
A public register of who owns every rented home discuss✗ no, it does not
2 yes / 0 worse / 27 no
✓ yes, it reduces this
27 yes / 0 worse / 2 no
not decided yet
✗ no, it does not
5 yes / 0 worse / 24 no
not decided yet
not decided yet
End the guarantor requirement for anyone in work discuss✓ yes, it reduces this
25 yes / 0 worse / 4 no
⚑ the group split
19 yes / 0 worse / 10 no
not decided yet
✗ no, it does not
4 yes / 0 worse / 25 no
not decided yet
not decided yet
Highest leverage so far
A public register of who owns every rented home reduces 1 of 6 root causes
End the guarantor requirement for anyone in work reduces 1 of 6 root causes
THE ACTIONS ON THE MAP
Showing every action the room judged: it acts directly on 2 of the 6 root causes. It does not act directly on 4.
Read from the squares the room settled at Actions, nothing else. A root in green is reduced by at least one of the shown actions; in grey, none of them acts on it directly; a red outline means one of them makes it worse.
Share this view: as a picture · as a live map for another site
Building anything takes years of permissions → Rents rise faster than wages every yearNobody knows what the flat next door pays → Building anything takes years of permissionsNobody knows what the flat next door pays → Rents are set by what the last desperate person agreed toNobody enforces the standards that already exist → The flat is cold because the landlord pays no heating billNobody enforces the standards that already exist → You are asked for a guarantor who owns propertyThe owner is a company in another country → Nobody enforces the standards that already existThe owner is a company in another country → There is no register of who owns whatChildren change school every time the tenancy ends → Nobody in my building knows their neighboursChildren change school every time the tenancy ends → Nobody has ever asked us what would fix itRents rise faster than wages every year → The people who decide have never been served a noticeRents rise faster than wages every year → We are the majority here and have no seat anywhereBeing evicted once makes the next tenancy harder to get → Nobody will rent to you without three months up frontThe flat is cold because the landlord pays no heating bill → Nobody in my building knows their neighboursReporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by then → Empty flats are worth more than let ones to some ownersRents are set by what the last desperate person agreed to → Empty flats are worth more than let ones to some ownersEmpty flats are worth more than let ones to some owners → Rents rise faster than wages every yearNobody knows what the flat next door pays ③ End the guarantor requirement for anyone in workNobody knows what the flatnext door pays③what the shown actions do to this root causeREDUCED BY 1 ACTIONThe owner is a company in another country ② A public register of who owns every rented homeThe owner is a company inanother country②what the shown actions do to this root causeREDUCED BY 1 ACTIONChildren change school every time the tenancy endsChildren change schoolevery time the tenancy endsBeing evicted once makes the next tenancy harder to getBeing evicted once makesthe next tenancy harder togetReporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by thenReporting a landlord takesa year and you have movedby thenwhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYNobody will rent to you without three months up frontNobody will rent to youwithout three months upfrontNobody has ever asked us what would fix itNobody has ever asked uswhat would fix itNobody enforces the standards that already existNobody enforces thestandards that alreadyexistwhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYThere is no register of who owns whatThere is no register of whoowns whatBuilding anything takes years of permissionsBuilding anything takesyears of permissionsRents are set by what the last desperate person agreed toRents are set by what thelast desperate personagreed towhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYThe flat is cold because the landlord pays no heating billThe flat is cold becausethe landlord pays noheating billYou are asked for a guarantor who owns propertyYou are asked for aguarantor who owns propertyEmpty flats are worth more than let ones to some ownersEmpty flats are worth morethan let ones to someownerswhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYNobody in my building knows their neighboursNobody in my building knowstheir neighboursRents rise faster than wages every yearRents rise faster thanwages every yearThe people who decide have never been served a noticeThe people who decide havenever been served a noticeWe are the majority here and have no seat anywhereWe are the majority hereand have no seat anywhere
Each number on the map marks a root cause that action reduces.
① Fund one inspector per five thousand homes
② A public register of who owns every rented home
③ End the guarantor requirement for anyone in work
FROM ACTIONS TO A PLAN
The grid judged each action on its own. A plan is a set of them the room would carry out together.
Members put plans together from the actions that reduce a root cause, and the room compares the plans two at a time, at three quarters of the votes cast, as it judged everything else. Each plan shows which root causes it acts on directly, which it does not, and which it makes worse.
The steward can open a plan comparison.
What we expect to follow
Predictions about the actions: what each should change, how to measure it, and when to check. On the date, someone who was in the room writes what actually happened beside it.
why
A map says which actions move which causes. It does not say whether anyone did them, or whether anything changed. An entry here is a prediction with a date and something to measure, written after the map settled. When the date comes, what actually happened is written beside it and the prediction stays as it was: a wrong one is the useful kind. Nobody voted on any of this and it changes nothing the room found.
due 25 Sep 2027
actionA public register of who owns every rented home
we expecta tenant can find out who owns the home they live in
measured by% of rented homes whose owner is named on a public register
guessesthe room: 28 (median of 15, spread 5 to 60)