True Causes
KO
Nobody offers the option between a statement and an invasion
a walkthrough with stand-ins — a demonstration, not a finding · sealed
It significantly influences
Every state judges the case by what it costs them
certified · 11 yes · 3 no · 1 abstained
What significantly influences it
The alternative to doing nothing is presented as full-scale war
certified · 14 yes · 1 no
So the safest position is a principle nobody applies
certified · 15 yes · 0 no
Judged not to be linked
By the time it is publishable it is history
judged not to · 1 yes · 14 no
What we know we cannot say and what we can say is thin
judged not to · 8 yes · 21 no · cross-group
Officials are advised that a wrong word creates liability
judged not to · 0 yes · 15 no
The alternative to doing nothing is presented as full-scale war
judged not to · 2 yes · 12 no · 1 abstained
A minister will not spend capital on a country with no domestic constituency
judged not to · 1 yes · 14 no
Sanctions are slow, blunt, and hurt the wrong people first
judged not to · 1 yes · 12 no · 2 abstained
So the safest position is a principle nobody applies
judged not to · 2 yes · 12 no · 1 abstained
The people in danger are never in the room where it is decided
judged not to · 3 yes · 12 no
By the time it is publishable it is history
judged not to · 1 yes · 13 no · 1 abstained
What we know we cannot say and what we can say is thin
judged not to · 3 yes · 12 no
Officials are advised that a wrong word creates liability
judged not to · 3 yes · 11 no · 1 abstained
A minister will not spend capital on a country with no domestic constituency
judged not to · 5 yes · 21 no · 3 abstained · cross-group
Sanctions are slow, blunt, and hurt the wrong people first
judged not to · 2 yes · 13 no
Every state judges the case by what it costs them
judged not to · 0 yes · 15 no
The people in danger are never in the room where it is decided
judged not to · 0 yes · 15 no
A group’s judgement, not a measurement. Demo room. On the atlas.
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