True Causes
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7/7 · Akcije
osoba: 30 · ideja: 35
probni prolaz · ne računa se
prepreke · svako sa linkom · na javnom spisku · federacija uključena
vodi: njen voditelj (zapečaćeno)
osoba: 30 · ideja: 35 · 2 grupe · 3 sobe u federaciji
Pasoš → · Logika → · zapis
↗ podeli ovu mapu
Na drugom sajtu, kao živa mapa:
Kao slika: https://truecauses.org/d/2825602/map.svg
Kao podaci: svi ocenjeni parovi u ovoj sobi (CSV). Svaka tvrdnja ima svoju adresu, /c/2825602/<card>, navedenu ispod mape.
Navedite izvor kada objavljujete: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/2825602
PITANJE

Why is there no work here for those finishing school?

Predložite šta da se uradi, pa procenite da li bi svaka akcija pomerila svaki koren.

Zapečaćeno pre 18 dana: ova soba više ne zna ko je sedeo u njoj; po imenu ostaje samo njen voditelj. Ono do čega je došla ostaje.
za stolom: 30 (simulirano: 29) · 3 predložene akcije za osnovne uzroke (6). Dodajte jednu, pa procenite da li svaka akcija pomera svaki uzrok.
Gledate kao gost. Unesite korisničko ime da biste se pridružili i učestvovali.
Neke tvrdnje utiču jedna na drugu u krug
↺ The careers website is a list of jobs, not of → The only people who told me to stay had alread
Krug može biti pravi nalaz — ciklus koji sam sebe hrani — ili veza čiji smer nikad nije zaista rešen. Mapa takav skup tretira kao jedan čvor, pa ništa unutar njega nije osnovni uzrok samo za sebe. Ako je posredi ovo drugo, vredi vratiti par sobi.
Najpre ocenite osnovne uzroke
zašto
Praksa same metode, pre nego što se predloži ijedna akcija: svaki osnovni uzrok dobija ocenu od 1 do 5 za to koliko je izvodljivo baviti se njime, koliki bi uticaj to imalo i koliko je verovatno da će se rešiti sam od sebe, bez ikakve intervencije. Prednost imaju osnovni uzroci sa velikim uticajem, visokom izvodljivošću i malom verovatnoćom da se reše sami — prioritet = uticaj + izvodljivost − verovatnoća. Ocene se uprosečuju za celu grupu i prikazuju uz broj onih koji su ocenjivali.
1 = nisko, 5 = visoko. Vaše ocene; pored njih proseci grupe.
osnovni uzrokizvodljivouticajrešava se samoprioritet
Everyone I know who did well left––––
The application asked for experience I could not have had––––
Careers advice is one afternoon in the final year––––
My teachers were proud of me for going and sad for the town––––
Nobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroom––––
I did not know that job existed until I met someone doing it––––
Koja akcija bi pomerila koji osnovni uzrok?
Sa strane: akcije koje su ljudi predložili. Gore: osnovni uzroci koje je mapa pronašla. Svako polje je jedno glasanje o jednom pitanju — da li bi ova akcija značajno smanjila taj uzrok? Jedna strana mora da dostigne 75% datih glasova da bi se pitanje rešilo; inače polje ostaje podeljeno. Svako polje pokazuje kako su pali glasovi — da / gore / ne — a polje je rešeno kada jedno od toga dobije tri četvrtine glasova.
zašto
Odgovor važi na 75% datih glasova, kao i svako drugo pitanje ovde. Podeljeno znači da su ljudi glasali, a nijedna strana nije dostigla taj prag — to je rezultat, a ne red čekanja, i ostaje podeljeno dok se dovoljno ljudi ne predomisli. Polje koje niko ne reši ostaje neodlučeno; nikad ne postaje „ne”. Ocenjivanje svakog para posebno sprečava da se popularnoj akciji pripiše da rešava stvari koje ne dotiče.
AKCIJAOSNOVNI UZROCI · da li ga akcija u levoj koloni umanjuje?
Everyone I know who did well leftThe application asked for experience I could not have hadCareers advice is one afternoon in the final yearMy teachers were proud of me for going and sad for the townNobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroomI did not know that job existed until I met someone doing it
Publish what every local job pays, by name diskutuj✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
5 da / 0 gore / 24 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
6 da / 0 gore / 23 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
Placements chosen by the pupil, not allocated diskutuj✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
6 da / 0 gore / 23 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
5 da / 0 gore / 24 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
5 da / 0 gore / 24 ne
One adult each leaver can ask, for two years after leaving diskutuj✓ da, smanjuje ovo
28 da / 0 gore / 1 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
3 da / 0 gore / 26 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
7 da / 0 gore / 22 ne
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
24 da / 0 gore / 5 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
5 da / 0 gore / 24 ne
Najveći učinak zasad
One adult each leaver can ask, for two years after leaving smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 2 od 6
AKCIJE NA MAPI
Prikazano: sve akcije koje je soba ocenila. Direktno deluje na osnovne uzroke: 2 od 6. Bez direktne akcije: 4.
Pročitano samo iz polja koja je soba rešila u fazi Akcije. Osnovni uzrok u zelenom smanjuje bar jedna od prikazanih akcija; u sivom nijedna od njih ne deluje direktno na njega; crveni obrub znači da ga jedna od njih pogoršava.
Podelite ovaj prikaz: kao sliku · kao živu mapu za drugi sajt
I would have stayed for a job that went somewhere → Young people leave and do not come backStaying feels like giving up on something → Young people leave and do not come backThe careers website is a list of jobs, not of how to get one → The only people who told me to stay had already left and come backCareers advice is one afternoon in the final year → Nobody explained what to wear or when to arriveCareers advice is one afternoon in the final year → The careers website is a list of jobs, not of how to get oneCareers advice is one afternoon in the final year → Nobody told me what any of these jobs payNobody told me what any of these jobs pay → Taking a low-paid apprenticeship felt like a luxury I could not affordI did not know that job existed until I met someone doing it → Nobody told me what any of these jobs payEveryone I know who did well left → I would have stayed for a job that went somewhereEveryone I know who did well left → Staying feels like giving up on somethingEveryone I know who did well left → Nobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroomThe application asked for experience I could not have had → Nobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroomThe application asked for experience I could not have had → I did not apply because I assumed I would not get itNobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroom → The jobs here do not need what school taughtThe only people who told me to stay had already left and come back → The careers website is a list of jobs, not of how to get oneMy teachers were proud of me for going and sad for the town → Staying feels like giving up on somethingMy teachers were proud of me for going and sad for the town → The jobs here do not need what school taughtThe jobs here do not need what school taught → Without a car you cannot take most of these jobsI got one week's placement in a place nobody chose for me → The only people who told me to stay had already left and come backCareers advice is one afternoon in the final yearCareers advice is oneafternoon in the final yearšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAI did not know that job existed until I met someone doing itI did not know that jobexisted until I met someonedoing itšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAEveryone I know who did well left ③ One adult each leaver can ask, for two years after leavingEveryone I know who didwell left③šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEThe application asked for experience I could not have hadThe application asked forexperience I could not havehadšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAMy teachers were proud of me for going and sad for the town ③ One adult each leaver can ask, for two years after leavingMy teachers were proud ofme for going and sad forthe town③šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEI got one week's placement in a place nobody chose for meI got one week's placementin a place nobody chose formeI did not apply because I assumed I would not get itI did not apply because Iassumed I would not get itStaying feels like giving up on somethingStaying feels like givingup on somethingNobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroomNobody in a position tohire ever visits aclassroomšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAThe only people who told me to stay had already left and come backThe only people who told meto stay had already leftand come backdeo povratne petlje⟳The careers website is a list of jobs, not of how to get oneThe careers website is alist of jobs, not of how toget onedeo povratne petlje⟳I would have stayed for a job that went somewhereI would have stayed for ajob that went somewhereNobody told me what any of these jobs payNobody told me what any ofthese jobs payNobody explained what to wear or when to arriveNobody explained what towear or when to arriveThe jobs here do not need what school taughtThe jobs here do not needwhat school taughtYoung people leave and do not come backYoung people leave and donot come backTaking a low-paid apprenticeship felt like a luxury I could not affordTaking a low-paidapprenticeship felt like aluxury I could not affordWithout a car you cannot take most of these jobsWithout a car you cannottake most of these jobs
Svaki broj na mapi označava osnovni uzrok koji ta akcija smanjuje.
① Publish what every local job pays, by name
② Placements chosen by the pupil, not allocated
③ One adult each leaver can ask, for two years after leaving
Šta očekujemo da usledi
Predviđanja o akcijama: šta bi svaka trebalo da promeni, kako to izmeriti i kada proveriti. Tog datuma neko ko je bio u sobi upisuje pored predviđanja šta se zaista dogodilo.
zašto
Mapa kaže koje akcije pomeraju koje uzroke. Ne kaže da li ih je iko sproveo, niti da li se išta promenilo. Unos ovde je predviđanje sa datumom i nečim što se meri, napisano pošto je mapa rešena. Kada dođe taj datum, pored njega se upiše šta se zaista dogodilo, a predviđanje ostaje kakvo je bilo: pogrešno je upravo ono korisno. Niko nije glasao ni o čemu od ovoga i to ne menja ništa od onoga što je soba utvrdila.
kako se očekivalo
akcijaPublish what every local job pays, by name
očekujemoa young person can tell what a job pays before applying
merilo% of local vacancies advertised with the pay named
procenesoba: 50 (medijana; procena: 15; raspon od 25 do 75)
šta se dogodilonothing