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vodi: njen voditelj (zapečaćeno)
osoba: 30 · ideja: 37 · 2 grupe · 3 sobe u federaciji
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↗ podeli ovu mapu
Na drugom sajtu, kao živa mapa:
Kao slika: https://truecauses.org/d/2db047b/map.svg
Kao podaci: svi ocenjeni parovi u ovoj sobi (CSV). Svaka tvrdnja ima svoju adresu, /c/2db047b/<card>, navedenu ispod mape.
Navedite izvor kada objavljujete: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/2db047b
PITANJE

Why is a secure standard of living harder to reach than a generation ago?

Predložite šta da se uradi, pa procenite da li bi svaka akcija pomerila svaki koren.

Zapečaćeno pre 23 dana: ova soba više ne zna ko je sedeo u njoj; po imenu ostaje samo njen voditelj. Ono do čega je došla ostaje.
za stolom: 30 (simulirano: 29) · 3 predložene akcije za osnovne uzroke (6). Dodajte jednu, pa procenite da li svaka akcija pomera svaki uzrok.
Gledate kao gost. Unesite korisničko ime da biste se pridružili i učestvovali.
Neke tvrdnje utiču jedna na drugu u krug
↺ Anyone without them was priced out of ever hol → Assets rose faster than wages for four decades → The things that used to be bought once are now
Krug može biti pravi nalaz — ciklus koji sam sebe hrani — ili veza čiji smer nikad nije zaista rešen. Mapa takav skup tretira kao jedan čvor, pa ništa unutar njega nije osnovni uzrok samo za sebe. Ako je posredi ovo drugo, vredi vratiti par sobi.
Najpre ocenite osnovne uzroke
zašto
Praksa same metode, pre nego što se predloži ijedna akcija: svaki osnovni uzrok dobija ocenu od 1 do 5 za to koliko je izvodljivo baviti se njime, koliki bi uticaj to imalo i koliko je verovatno da će se rešiti sam od sebe, bez ikakve intervencije. Prednost imaju osnovni uzroci sa velikim uticajem, visokom izvodljivošću i malom verovatnoćom da se reše sami — prioritet = uticaj + izvodljivost − verovatnoća. Ocene se uprosečuju za celu grupu i prikazuju uz broj onih koji su ocenjivali.
1 = nisko, 5 = visoko. Vaše ocene; pored njih proseci grupe.
osnovni uzrokizvodljivouticajrešava se samoprioritet
The measured rate of inflation is not the rate a young family faces––––
Classification as self-employed removes protections without removing dependence––––
Three employers in a town is not a market for workers––––
Productivity rose and pay stopped following it––––
A single wage no longer supports a household––––
A household absorbs shocks that used to be absorbed by an institution––––
Koja akcija bi pomerila koji osnovni uzrok?
Sa strane: akcije koje su ljudi predložili. Gore: osnovni uzroci koje je mapa pronašla. Svako polje je jedno glasanje o jednom pitanju — da li bi ova akcija značajno smanjila taj uzrok? Jedna strana mora da dostigne 75% datih glasova da bi se pitanje rešilo; inače polje ostaje podeljeno. Svako polje pokazuje kako su pali glasovi — da / gore / ne — a polje je rešeno kada jedno od toga dobije tri četvrtine glasova.
zašto
Odgovor važi na 75% datih glasova, kao i svako drugo pitanje ovde. Podeljeno znači da su ljudi glasali, a nijedna strana nije dostigla taj prag — to je rezultat, a ne red čekanja, i ostaje podeljeno dok se dovoljno ljudi ne predomisli. Polje koje niko ne reši ostaje neodlučeno; nikad ne postaje „ne”. Ocenjivanje svakog para posebno sprečava da se popularnoj akciji pripiše da rešava stvari koje ne dotiče.
AKCIJAOSNOVNI UZROCI · da li ga akcija u levoj koloni umanjuje?
The measured rate of inflation is not the rate a young family facesClassification as self-employed removes protections without removing dependenceThree employers in a town is not a market for workersProductivity rose and pay stopped following itA single wage no longer supports a householdA household absorbs shocks that used to be absorbed by an institution
Measure inflation for the essentials separately, and publish it diskutujjoš nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
još nije odlučeno
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
25 da / 0 gore / 4 ne
Competition policy that counts employers as well as sellers diskutujjoš nije odlučeno
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
23 da / 0 gore / 6 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
3 da / 0 gore / 26 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
5 da / 0 gore / 24 ne
Tax the asset at the rate of the wage diskutujjoš nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
3 da / 0 gore / 26 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
3 da / 0 gore / 26 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
Najveći učinak zasad
Measure inflation for the essentials separately, and publish it smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 1 od 6
Competition policy that counts employers as well as sellers smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 1 od 6
AKCIJE NA MAPI
Prikazano: sve akcije koje je soba ocenila. Direktno deluje na osnovne uzroke: 2 od 6. Bez direktne akcije: 4.
Pročitano samo iz polja koja je soba rešila u fazi Akcije. Osnovni uzrok u zelenom smanjuje bar jedna od prikazanih akcija; u sivom nijedna od njih ne deluje direktno na njega; crveni obrub znači da ga jedna od njih pogoršava.
Podelite ovaj prikaz: kao sliku · kao živu mapu za drugi sajt
Anyone without them was priced out of ever holding them → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesA single wage no longer supports a household → Anyone without them was priced out of ever holding themA single wage no longer supports a household → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesA single wage no longer supports a household → The things that used to be bought once are now rented foreverAssets rose faster than wages for four decades → The things that used to be bought once are now rented foreverProductivity rose and pay stopped following it → Anyone without them was priced out of ever holding themProductivity rose and pay stopped following it → Bargaining power moved from labour to capital gradually and completelyProductivity rose and pay stopped following it → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesThe things that used to be bought once are now rented forever → Anyone without them was priced out of ever holding themDebt made the fall invisible until it was not → The statistics say the median is fine and the median household disagreesDebt made the fall invisible until it was not → Risk was transferred to households and called flexibilityA household absorbs shocks that used to be absorbed by an institution → Anyone without them was priced out of ever holding themThe share of output going to wages fell and nobody decided it → Risk was transferred to households and called flexibilityThe measured rate of inflation is not the rate a young family faces → A single wage no longer supports a householdThree employers in a town is not a market for workers → Anyone without them was priced out of ever holding themThree employers in a town is not a market for workers → Bargaining power moved from labour to capital gradually and completelyThree employers in a town is not a market for workers → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesThe cost of the essentials rose faster than the basket used to measure inflation → The things that used to be bought once are now rented foreverTraining is an employer cost, so nobody trains anyone → A skill has a shorter life than a careerClassification as self-employed removes protections without removing dependence → Training is an employer cost, so nobody trains anyoneProductivity rose and pay stopped following itProductivity rose and paystopped following itšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGADebt made the fall invisible until it was notDebt made the fallinvisible until it was notA household absorbs shocks that used to be absorbed by an institution ① Measure inflation for the essentials separately, and publish itA household absorbs shocksthat used to be absorbed byan institution①šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEThe share of output going to wages fell and nobody decided itThe share of output goingto wages fell and nobodydecided itThe measured rate of inflation is not the rate a young family facesThe measured rate ofinflation is not the rate ayoung family facesšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAThree employers in a town is not a market for workersThree employers in a townis not a market for workersšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAThe cost of the essentials rose faster than the basket used to measure inflationThe cost of the essentialsrose faster than the basketused to measure inflationClassification as self-employed removes protections without removing dependence ② Competition policy that counts employers as well as sellersClassification asself-employed removesprotections withoutremoving dependence②šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJETraining is an employer cost, so nobody trains anyoneTraining is an employercost, so nobody trainsanyoneA single wage no longer supports a householdA single wage no longersupports a householdšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGABargaining power moved from labour to capital gradually and completelyBargaining power moved fromlabour to capital graduallyand completelyRisk was transferred to households and called flexibilityRisk was transferred tohouseholds and calledflexibilityThe statistics say the median is fine and the median household disagreesThe statistics say themedian is fine and themedian household disagreesA skill has a shorter life than a careerA skill has a shorter lifethan a careerThe things that used to be bought once are now rented foreverThe things that used to bebought once are now rentedforeverdeo povratne petlje⟳Anyone without them was priced out of ever holding themAnyone without them waspriced out of ever holdingthemdeo povratne petlje⟳Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesAssets rose faster thanwages for four decadesdeo povratne petlje⟳
Svaki broj na mapi označava osnovni uzrok koji ta akcija smanjuje.
① Measure inflation for the essentials separately, and publish it
② Competition policy that counts employers as well as sellers
③ Tax the asset at the rate of the wage
OD AKCIJA DO PLANA
Tabela je ocenila svaku akciju zasebno. Plan je skup akcija koje bi soba sprovela zajedno.
Članovi sastavljaju planove od akcija koje smanjuju neki osnovni uzrok, a soba poredi planove po dva, sa tri četvrtine datih glasova, kao što je ocenila i sve ostalo. Svaki plan pokazuje na koje osnovne uzroke direktno deluje, na koje ne i koje pogoršava.
Voditelj može da otvori poređenje planova.
Šta očekujemo da usledi
Predviđanja o akcijama: šta bi svaka trebalo da promeni, kako to izmeriti i kada proveriti. Tog datuma neko ko je bio u sobi upisuje pored predviđanja šta se zaista dogodilo.
zašto
Mapa kaže koje akcije pomeraju koje uzroke. Ne kaže da li ih je iko sproveo, niti da li se išta promenilo. Unos ovde je predviđanje sa datumom i nečim što se meri, napisano pošto je mapa rešena. Kada dođe taj datum, pored njega se upiše šta se zaista dogodilo, a predviđanje ostaje kakvo je bilo: pogrešno je upravo ono korisno. Niko nije glasao ni o čemu od ovoga i to ne menja ništa od onoga što je soba utvrdila.
rok: 25 Sep 2027
akcijaMeasure inflation for the essentials separately, and publish it
očekujemothe price of the things people cannot avoid buying has its own number
merilomonths until an essentials index is published
procenesoba: 14 (medijana; procena: 15; raspon od 6 do 30)