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30 人 · 36 个想法
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行动
演示 · 不计入
障碍 · 持有链接的任何人 · 公开列出 · 已开启联盟
主持人:它的主持人(已封存)
30 人 · 36 个想法 · 2 个小组 · 3 个房间 已结成联盟
通行证 → · 逻辑 → · 记录
↗ 分享这张地图
在其他网站上,作为实时地图:
作为图片: https://truecauses.org/d/8a3ad28/map.svg
作为数据: 本房间每一个已判断的卡片对(CSV). 每个主张都有自己的地址 /c/8a3ad28/<card>,列在地图下方。
发布时请注明出处: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/8a3ad28
问题

Why can working people no longer afford a home here?

提出该做什么,再判断每项行动能否撼动每个根源。

封存于 9 天前:这个房间已不再知道谁曾在其中;只有主持人仍然留名。它得出的结论保留。
30 人在座 (其中 29 名为模拟成员) · 针对 6 个根本原因已提出 3 项行动。添加一项,然后判断每项行动能否撼动每个原因。
正以访客身份查看。输入用户名即可加入并参与。
先给根本原因打分
为什么
本方法自身的做法,在提出任何行动之前:每个根本原因按 1–5 分打分——解决它的可行性有多高、解决它会带来多大影响、不加干预它自行解决的可能性有多大。优先考虑影响大、可行性高、自行解决可能性低的根源——优先级 = 影响 + 可行性 − 可能性。分数在小组内取平均,并显示有多少人打了分。
1 = 低,5 = 高。这是你自己的分数;旁边是小组的平均分。
根本原因可行性影响自行解决优先级
Nobody knows what the flat next door pays––––
The owner is a company in another country––––
Rents are set by what the last desperate person agreed to––––
Reporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by then––––
Nobody enforces the standards that already exist––––
Empty flats are worth more than let ones to some owners––––
每项行动能撼动每个根本原因吗?
竖列:大家提出的行动。横行:地图找出的根本原因。每个格子都是对一个问题的一次投票——这项行动能否显著减少那个原因?一方必须达到所投票数的 75% 才算定下;达不到,格子就保持分裂。 每个格子显示其投票分布——是 / 更糟 / 否——当其中一项达到四分之三时,该格子就定下了。
为什么
以所投票数的 75% 定下,和这里的其他所有问题一样。分裂表示有人投了票,但没有一方达到这个标准——这是一个结果,不是排队等待,它会一直保持分裂,直到足够多的人改变主意。没有人定下的格子保持未定;它永远不会变成否。逐对单独判断,能防止一项受欢迎的行动被记上它根本没触及的功劳。
行动根本原因 · 左边的行动能减少它吗?
Nobody knows what the flat next door paysThe owner is a company in another countryRents are set by what the last desperate person agreed toReporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by thenNobody enforces the standards that already existEmpty flats are worth more than let ones to some owners
Fund one inspector per five thousand homes 讨论✗ 不,不能
2 是 / 0 更糟 / 27 否
✗ 不,不能
2 是 / 0 更糟 / 27 否
尚未确定
✗ 不,不能
3 是 / 0 更糟 / 26 否
尚未确定
尚未确定
A public register of who owns every rented home 讨论✗ 不,不能
2 是 / 0 更糟 / 27 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
27 是 / 0 更糟 / 2 否
尚未确定
✗ 不,不能
5 是 / 0 更糟 / 24 否
尚未确定
尚未确定
End the guarantor requirement for anyone in work 讨论✓ 是,它能减少这一项
25 是 / 0 更糟 / 4 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
19 是 / 0 更糟 / 10 否
尚未确定
✗ 不,不能
4 是 / 0 更糟 / 25 否
尚未确定
尚未确定
目前杠杆作用最大
A public register of who owns every rented home 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 1 个
End the guarantor requirement for anyone in work 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 1 个
地图上的行动
显示的是房间判断过的所有行动:它直接作用于 6 个根本原因中的 2 个。 有 4 个没有直接作用。
只依据房间在行动阶段定下的格子,别无其他。绿色的根本原因至少被所显示行动中的一项减轻;灰色的,没有一项直接作用于它;红色边框表示其中某项会使它更糟。
Building anything takes years of permissions → Rents rise faster than wages every yearNobody knows what the flat next door pays → Building anything takes years of permissionsNobody knows what the flat next door pays → Rents are set by what the last desperate person agreed toNobody enforces the standards that already exist → The flat is cold because the landlord pays no heating billNobody enforces the standards that already exist → You are asked for a guarantor who owns propertyThe owner is a company in another country → Nobody enforces the standards that already existThe owner is a company in another country → There is no register of who owns whatChildren change school every time the tenancy ends → Nobody in my building knows their neighboursChildren change school every time the tenancy ends → Nobody has ever asked us what would fix itRents rise faster than wages every year → The people who decide have never been served a noticeRents rise faster than wages every year → We are the majority here and have no seat anywhereBeing evicted once makes the next tenancy harder to get → Nobody will rent to you without three months up frontThe flat is cold because the landlord pays no heating bill → Nobody in my building knows their neighboursReporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by then → Empty flats are worth more than let ones to some ownersRents are set by what the last desperate person agreed to → Empty flats are worth more than let ones to some ownersEmpty flats are worth more than let ones to some owners → Rents rise faster than wages every yearNobody knows what the flat next door pays ③ End the guarantor requirement for anyone in workNobody knows what the flatnext door pays③所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用1 项行动减轻它The owner is a company in another country ② A public register of who owns every rented homeThe owner is a company inanother country②所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用1 项行动减轻它Children change school every time the tenancy endsChildren change schoolevery time the tenancy endsBeing evicted once makes the next tenancy harder to getBeing evicted once makesthe next tenancy harder togetReporting a landlord takes a year and you have moved by thenReporting a landlord takesa year and you have movedby then所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它Nobody will rent to you without three months up frontNobody will rent to youwithout three months upfrontNobody has ever asked us what would fix itNobody has ever asked uswhat would fix itNobody enforces the standards that already existNobody enforces thestandards that alreadyexist所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它There is no register of who owns whatThere is no register of whoowns whatBuilding anything takes years of permissionsBuilding anything takesyears of permissionsRents are set by what the last desperate person agreed toRents are set by what thelast desperate personagreed to所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它The flat is cold because the landlord pays no heating billThe flat is cold becausethe landlord pays noheating billYou are asked for a guarantor who owns propertyYou are asked for aguarantor who owns propertyEmpty flats are worth more than let ones to some ownersEmpty flats are worth morethan let ones to someowners所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它Nobody in my building knows their neighboursNobody in my building knowstheir neighboursRents rise faster than wages every yearRents rise faster thanwages every yearThe people who decide have never been served a noticeThe people who decide havenever been served a noticeWe are the majority here and have no seat anywhereWe are the majority hereand have no seat anywhere
地图上的每个编号标出该行动所减轻的一个根本原因。
① Fund one inspector per five thousand homes
② A public register of who owns every rented home
③ End the guarantor requirement for anyone in work
从行动到方案
表格对每项行动是单独判断的。方案是房间会一起执行的一组行动。
成员用能减轻某个根本原因的行动组合出方案,房间再像判断其他一切那样,把方案两两比较,以所投票数的四分之三为准。每个方案都显示它直接作用于哪些根本原因、哪些没有、又使哪些更糟。
主持人可以开启方案比较。
我们预期接下来会发生什么
关于各项行动的预测:每项应改变什么、如何衡量、何时检查。到了那一天,曾在房间里的某个人会在旁边写下实际发生了什么。
为什么
地图说明哪些行动能撼动哪些原因。它不说明是否有人做了这些行动,也不说明是否有什么改变了。这里的每一条都是一项预测,带有日期和要衡量的东西,在地图定下后写成。日期到了,实际发生的情况会写在旁边,而预测保持原样:错误的预测才是有用的那种。没有人对这些投过票,它也不改变房间发现的任何东西。
到期:25 Sep 2027
行动A public register of who owns every rented home
预期a tenant can find out who owns the home they live in
衡量指标% of rented homes whose owner is named on a public register
估计房间:28(15 人的中位数,范围 5 到 60)