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20 人 · 73 个想法 · 234 项有争议
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主持人:llm-mistral-nemo
20 人 · 73 个想法
234 项有争议——已公布,未解决
通行证 → · 逻辑 → · 记录
↗ 分享这张地图
在其他网站上,作为实时地图:
作为图片: https://truecauses.org/d/9f50a69fd356/map.svg
作为数据: 本房间每一个已判断的卡片对(CSV). 每个主张都有自己的地址 /c/9f50a69fd356/<card>,列在地图下方。
发布时请注明出处: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/9f50a69fd356
问题

Why is housing unaffordable in our cities?

公共记录房间。它的卡片是人们在公开讨论中提出的主张;每条主张在哪里说过,列在资源池中该主张之下。 一个语言模型评审组澄清了卡片并判断了配对:这张地图是模型对公众所说内容的结构化,而不是一群人得出的结论。 它只与其他公共记录房间合并计算。 相关研究:告诉模型它是谁,它的因果判断几乎不变,因此这个评审组不设角色,以自身作出判断。
公开讨论中提出的关联(1)
按资源池的统计:谁提出了关联,谁否定了它。请与评审组的地图对照;两者都不是一群人的裁定。
  • Local control laws allow anyone to stop development in others' yards. → Zoning irresponsibly near heavy transit restricts housing development. 稀少

提出该做什么,再判断每项行动能否撼动每个根源。

关闭于 4 天前:这是一个由模型组成的房间,所以成员按名字保留——没有需要保护的人,哪个模型说了什么就是记录。它得出的结论保留。
20 人在座 · 针对 6 个根本原因已提出 13 项行动。添加一项,然后判断每项行动能否撼动每个原因。
正以访客身份查看。输入用户名即可加入并参与。
有些主张在一个循环中相互影响
↺ The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → The main reason we don't have infinite ho
循环可能是一项真实的发现——一个自我强化的回路——也可能是一条方向从未真正确定的关联。地图把这组主张视为一个节点,所以其中没有一项单独是根源。如果是后一种情况,值得把这个卡片对重新交给房间。
先给根本原因打分
为什么
本方法自身的做法,在提出任何行动之前:每个根本原因按 1–5 分打分——解决它的可行性有多高、解决它会带来多大影响、不加干预它自行解决的可能性有多大。优先考虑影响大、可行性高、自行解决可能性低的根源——优先级 = 影响 + 可行性 − 可能性。分数在小组内取平均,并显示有多少人打了分。
1 = 低,5 = 高。这是你自己的分数;旁边是小组的平均分。
根本原因可行性影响自行解决优先级
The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy.––––
Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.––––
Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.––––
America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supply––––
House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.––––
Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.––––
针对这些原因的方法
由 tencent/hunyuan-a13b-instruct (a model) 在房间关闭后撰写,依据的是房间自己认证的内容——投票显示存在困境的,就针对困境;否则针对根本原因。没有人对其中任何内容投过票。这里的行动只有在成员于上方提出、并经房间判断后,才属于房间。主持人可以移除它。
一个没有困境的根本原因
The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy.
解读为 Addressing housing unaffordability requires reversing anti-supply planning policies through adaptive, early-stage interventions that increase supply without exacerbating other systemic issues.
如果不花任何代价 If the anti-supply policy were removed at zero cost, housing would be built in sufficient quantity and location to meet demand, with developers incentivized to prioritize affordability and decentralized decision-making.
已有但未利用的 Existing underused land parcels near transit hubs and brownfield sites that could be redeveloped with streamlined permitting.
可以去掉的 The anti-supply policy itself could be removed entirely, replaced by a decentralized permitting system that allows local governments to approve housing projects based on current demand.
这里没有提出任何建议:判断认为这需要资源而不是巧思。这本身也是一个发现。
一个没有困境的根本原因
Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.
解读为 Companies concentrating demand for housing in a few areas is the root cause of unaffordability.
如果不花任何代价 Housing demand is evenly distributed across all areas, eliminating concentration in specific zones.
已有但未利用的 Existing land use policies that could be applied more equitably across all areas but aren't currently enforced in favor of concentrated demand zones.
可以去掉的 The practice of incumbents treating housing shortages as free money, which incentivizes inaction in equitable distribution.
这里没有提出任何建议:判断认为这需要资源而不是巧思。这本身也是一个发现。
一个没有困境的根本原因
Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.
解读为 The root cause of unaffordable housing is that incumbents treat housing shortages as free money, allowing them to profit from scarcity without addressing the underlying economic incentive.
如果不花任何代价 If housing shortages cost nothing to hold or profit from, incumbents would have no financial motive to withhold supply. Instead, they would compete to supply housing at cost, aligning private incentives with market availability.
已有但未利用的 Vacant land, underutilized commercial spaces, and idle construction materials already exist. These could be repurposed into housing without requiring new taxpayer-funded projects.
可以去掉的 The 'treat housing shortages as free money' policy itself could be removed entirely. Instead of subsidizing incumbents, the government could directly subsidize homebuyers or renters to offset costs, breaking the profit motive.
这里没有提出任何建议:判断认为这需要资源而不是巧思。这本身也是一个发现。
一个没有困境的根本原因
America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supply
解读为 Housing unaffordability stems from immigration strain overwhelming limited supply.
如果不花任何代价 If immigration ceased, existing unused land and dilapidated housing could house everyone without new construction.
已有但未利用的 Abandoned retail buildings, vacant lots in dense urban areas, and foreclosed properties sitting idle.
可以去掉的 Zoning laws prioritizing single-family homes over multi-family units, and subsidies for developers targeting non-local buyers.
这里没有提出任何建议:判断认为这需要资源而不是巧思。这本身也是一个发现。
一个没有困境的根本原因
House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.
解读为 Housing unaffordability stems from insufficient supply and excessive demand, constrained by existing political and market dynamics.
如果不花任何代价 Homes would be affordable if supply met demand without speculative hoarding, inefficient land use, or policies that concentrate housing in specific areas.
已有但未利用的 Vast unused land in underutilized urban areas, vacant commercial properties, and pre-approved housing projects waiting for permits.
可以去掉的 Incumbents treating housing shortages as free money; speculative investment in empty properties; policies that lock out affordable housing under the guise of 'preserving character.'
这里没有提出任何建议:判断认为这需要资源而不是巧思。这本身也是一个发现。
一个没有困境的根本原因
Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.
解读为 Housing unaffordability stems from policies that treat homes as investment vehicles instead of homes.
如果不花任何代价 Homes exist solely as residences, not speculative assets, with wealth distribution reflecting actual occupancy needs.
已有但未利用的 Existing underutilized zoning laws that could be enforced for affordable housing without speculative incentives.
可以去掉的 The speculative asset policy itself could be removed entirely, replaced by laws prioritizing residential use over investment.
这里没有提出任何建议:判断认为这需要资源而不是巧思。这本身也是一个发现。
每项行动能撼动每个根本原因吗?
竖列:大家提出的行动。横行:地图找出的根本原因。每个格子都是对一个问题的一次投票——这项行动能否显著减少那个原因?一方必须达到所投票数的 75% 才算定下;达不到,格子就保持分裂。 每个格子显示其投票分布——是 / 更糟 / 否——当其中一项达到四分之三时,该格子就定下了。
为什么
以所投票数的 75% 定下,和这里的其他所有问题一样。分裂表示有人投了票,但没有一方达到这个标准——这是一个结果,不是排队等待,它会一直保持分裂,直到足够多的人改变主意。没有人定下的格子保持未定;它永远不会变成否。逐对单独判断,能防止一项受欢迎的行动被记上它根本没触及的功劳。
行动根本原因 · 左边的行动能减少它吗?
The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyHouse prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.
Increasing housing supply will make it more affordable. 讨论中(10)✓ 是,它能减少这一项
15 是 / 0 更糟 / 1 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 5 更糟 / 9 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
11 是 / 2 更糟 / 3 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 5 更糟 / 6 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
15 是 / 1 更糟 / 0 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
11 是 / 3 更糟 / 2 否
Reducing regulations can address housing affordability issues. 讨论中(1)✓ 是,它能减少这一项
12 是 / 2 更糟 / 2 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 3 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
8 是 / 2 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
4 是 / 5 更糟 / 7 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
15 是 / 1 更糟 / 0 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 3 更糟 / 3 否
We simply do need more units to address housing affordability. 讨论中(1)✓ 是,它能减少这一项
13 是 / 1 更糟 / 2 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 3 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
7 是 / 2 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 5 更糟 / 6 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
15 是 / 1 更糟 / 0 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 3 更糟 / 3 否
The organisation will implement a transparent and equitable home-buying program for first-time buyers, with strict affordability criteria and limited allocation per applicant. 讨论中(2)⚑ 小组意见分裂
7 是 / 2 更糟 / 7 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 3 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
7 是 / 3 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
2 是 / 5 更糟 / 9 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
11 是 / 1 更糟 / 4 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
9 是 / 3 更糟 / 4 否
Adding taxes will reduce the supply of homes. 讨论中(4)⚑ 小组意见分裂
6 是 / 10 更糟 / 0 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
2 是 / 4 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 7 更糟 / 4 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
2 是 / 6 更糟 / 8 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
8 是 / 5 更糟 / 3 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
6 是 / 8 更糟 / 2 否
The people lead publishes a quarterly report showing the percentage of new hires and open roles based outside the top-5 metro areas, with a target of 30% by Q4 2026. 讨论中(1)⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 2 更糟 / 9 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
9 是 / 4 更糟 / 3 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
6 是 / 2 更糟 / 8 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
2 是 / 5 更糟 / 9 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 1 更糟 / 5 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
8 是 / 3 更糟 / 5 否
Reforming local land use controls helps poorer Americans. 讨论✓ 是,它能减少这一项
13 是 / 2 更糟 / 1 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 3 更糟 / 8 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
8 是 / 2 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 5 更糟 / 8 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
13 是 / 1 更糟 / 2 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 3 更糟 / 3 否
Political impediments need to be addressed for new housing supply. 讨论✓ 是,它能减少这一项
12 是 / 2 更糟 / 2 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 3 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
9 是 / 2 更糟 / 5 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 5 更糟 / 8 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
15 是 / 1 更糟 / 0 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 3 更糟 / 3 否
The policy team lobbies the new government to reverse the anti-supply changes to national planning policy by Q2 2023. 讨论中(1)✓ 是,它能减少这一项
14 是 / 1 更糟 / 1 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 3 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
7 是 / 2 更糟 / 7 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 5 更糟 / 8 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
14 是 / 1 更糟 / 1 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 3 更糟 / 3 否
Upzoning will make the broader region more affordable. 讨论✓ 是,它能减少这一项
14 是 / 1 更糟 / 1 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 3 更糟 / 8 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
8 是 / 2 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 5 更糟 / 6 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
15 是 / 1 更糟 / 0 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 3 更糟 / 3 否
The policy team will propose a bill to Parliament, by the election, to levy a 2% annual tax on properties owned for less than 3 years without structural improvement to the property, making it law by January 1, 2025. 讨论中(2)⚑ 小组意见分裂
5 是 / 5 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 3 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
6 是 / 4 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
4 是 / 4 更糟 / 8 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
9 是 / 3 更糟 / 4 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
8 是 / 5 更糟 / 3 否
Minimizing red tape would increase housing stock and decrease rents. 讨论✓ 是,它能减少这一项
13 是 / 1 更糟 / 2 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
4 是 / 3 更糟 / 9 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
8 是 / 2 更糟 / 6 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
4 是 / 5 更糟 / 7 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
15 是 / 1 更糟 / 0 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
10 是 / 3 更糟 / 3 否
The policy lead sends the organisation's MP a one-page request within 30 days, asking the MP to table a Private Members' Bill that reverses the anti-supply national planning-policy changes. 讨论中(1)✓ 是,它能减少这一项
14 是 / 1 更糟 / 1 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 3 更糟 / 10 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
7 是 / 2 更糟 / 7 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
3 是 / 5 更糟 / 8 否
✓ 是,它能减少这一项
12 是 / 0 更糟 / 2 否
⚑ 小组意见分裂
9 是 / 2 更糟 / 3 否
目前杠杆作用最大
Increasing housing supply will make it more affordable. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
Reducing regulations can address housing affordability issues. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
We simply do need more units to address housing affordability. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
Reforming local land use controls helps poorer Americans. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
Political impediments need to be addressed for new housing supply. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
The policy team lobbies the new government to reverse the anti-supply changes to national planning policy by Q2 2023. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
Upzoning will make the broader region more affordable. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
Minimizing red tape would increase housing stock and decrease rents. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
The policy lead sends the organisation's MP a one-page request within 30 days, asking the MP to table a Private Members' Bill that reverses the anti-supply national planning-policy changes. 减少了 6 个根本原因中的 2 个
地图上的行动
显示的是房间判断过的所有行动:它直接作用于 6 个根本原因中的 2 个。 有 4 个没有直接作用。
只依据房间在行动阶段定下的格子,别无其他。绿色的根本原因至少被所显示行动中的一项减轻;灰色的,没有一项直接作用于它;红色边框表示其中某项会使它更糟。
New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation.Proposition 13 limited annual property tax increases in California. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreAmerican life is structured to require a car for transportation. → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreDevelopers have an incentive to keep rents high overall. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themHousing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supply → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreNIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyThe city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themThe previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supply → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreNIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.Residents voting may not want to change the system. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themResidents voting may not want to change the system. → Proposition 13 limited annual property tax increases in California.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty.Residents voting may not want to change the system. → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreThe main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreProposition 13 limited annual property tax increases in California. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themHousing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty. → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.American life is structured to require a car for transportation. → America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyHouse prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.American life is structured to require a car for transportation. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.Proposition 13 limited annual property tax increases in California. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas. → New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty.Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban core → American life is structured to require a car for transportation.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyHouse prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.American life is structured to require a car for transportation. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.Residents voting may not want to change the system. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themNIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themThere is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyResidents voting may not want to change the system. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themHouse prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyHouse prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas. → The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban core → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → Residents voting may not want to change the system.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreHouse prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themDeliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.Residents voting may not want to change the system. → The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.American life is structured to require a car for transportation. → The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supply → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban core → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. → Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyThe reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → People who work in the city can't afford to live there.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down. → We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy.American life is structured to require a car for transportation. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas. → House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand.Proposition 13 limited annual property tax increases in California. → Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreHousing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK. → NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. → America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyAmerican life is structured to require a car for transportation. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas. → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.People who work in the city can't afford to live there. → American life is structured to require a car for transportation.The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding them → Housing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation. → There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation. → Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.New luxury apartments are bought by foreign investors who keep them empty.New luxury apartments arebought by foreign investorswho keep them empty.The reason more isn’t being built is zoning.The reason more isn’t beingbuilt is zoning.属于一个反馈回路⟳Proposition 13 limited annual property tax increases in California.Proposition 13 limitedannual property taxincreases in California.NIMBY exists to protect most people's largest financial asset.NIMBY exists to protectmost people's largestfinancial asset.The previous Government made anti-supply changes to national planning policy. ① Increasing housing supply will make it more affordable. ② Reducing regulations can address housing affordability issues. ③ We simply do need more units to address housing affordability. ⑦ Reforming local land use controls helps poorer Americans. ⑧ Political impediments need to be addressed for new housing supply. ⑨ The policy team lobbies the new government to reverse the anti-supply changes to national planning policy by Q2 2023. ⑩ Upzoning will make the broader region more affordable. ⑫ Minimizing red tape would increase housing stock and decrease rents. ⑬ The policy lead sends the organisation's MP a one-page request within 30 days, asking the MP to table a Private Members' Bill that reverses the anti-supply national planning-policy changes.The previous Governmentmade anti-supply changes tonational planning policy.①②③⑦⑧⑨⑩⑫⑬所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用9 项行动减轻它Companies concentrate demand for housing in a few areas.Companies concentratedemand for housing in a fewareas.所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它The main reason we don't have infinite housing is regulation.The main reason we don'thave infinite housing isregulation.属于一个反馈回路⟳American life is structured to require a car for transportation.American life is structuredto require a car fortransportation.America adds 600k-1.2M immigrants per year, straining limited supplyAmerica adds 600k-1.2Mimmigrants per year,straining limited supply所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它Housing shortages are treated as free money by incumbents.Housing shortages aretreated as free money byincumbents.所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它Deliberate policy turned homes into speculative assets and locked out a generation.Deliberate policy turnedhomes into speculativeassets and locked out ageneration.所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用没有行动直接作用于它House prices in the UK are high because of low supply and buoyant demand. ① Increasing housing supply will make it more affordable. ② Reducing regulations can address housing affordability issues. ③ We simply do need more units to address housing affordability. ⑦ Reforming local land use controls helps poorer Americans. ⑧ Political impediments need to be addressed for new housing supply. ⑨ The policy team lobbies the new government to reverse the anti-supply changes to national planning policy by Q2 2023. ⑩ Upzoning will make the broader region more affordable. ⑫ Minimizing red tape would increase housing stock and decrease rents. ⑬ The policy lead sends the organisation's MP a one-page request within 30 days, asking the MP to table a Private Members' Bill that reverses the anti-supply national planning-policy changes.House prices in the UK arehigh because of low supplyand buoyant demand.①②③⑦⑧⑨⑩⑫⑬所显示的行动对这个根本原因的作用9 项行动减轻它The city council refuses to allow low cost apartments or assist funding themThe city council refuses toallow low cost apartmentsor assist funding themHousing relies on rising house prices to function in the UK.Housing relies on risinghouse prices to function inthe UK.There is so much demand and money that prices won't go down.There is so much demand andmoney that prices won't godown.Residents voting may not want to change the system.Residents voting may notwant to change the system.We are consciously limiting supply in the Seattle housing market.We are consciously limitingsupply in the Seattlehousing market.Developers have an incentive to keep rents high overall.Developers have anincentive to keep rentshigh overall.People who work in the city can't afford to live there.People who work in the citycan't afford to live there.Transportation costs offset savings from living further from urban coreTransportation costs offsetsavings from living furtherfrom urban core
地图上的每个编号标出该行动所减轻的一个根本原因。
① Increasing housing supply will make it more affordable.
② Reducing regulations can address housing affordability issues.
③ We simply do need more units to address housing affordability.
④ The organisation will implement a transparent and equitable home-buying program for first-time buyers, with strict affordability criteria and limited allocation per applicant.
⑤ Adding taxes will reduce the supply of homes.
⑥ The people lead publishes a quarterly report showing the percentage of new hires and open roles based outside the top-5 metro areas, with a target of 30% by Q4 2026.
⑦ Reforming local land use controls helps poorer Americans.
⑧ Political impediments need to be addressed for new housing supply.
⑨ The policy team lobbies the new government to reverse the anti-supply changes to national planning policy by Q2 2023.
⑩ Upzoning will make the broader region more affordable.
⑪ The policy team will propose a bill to Parliament, by the election, to levy a 2% annual tax on properties owned for less than 3 years without structural improvement to the property, making it law by January 1, 2025.
⑫ Minimizing red tape would increase housing stock and decrease rents.
⑬ The policy lead sends the organisation's MP a one-page request within 30 days, asking the MP to table a Private Members' Bill that reverses the anti-supply national planning-policy changes.
从行动到方案
表格对每项行动是单独判断的。方案是房间会一起执行的一组行动。
成员用能减轻某个根本原因的行动组合出方案,房间再像判断其他一切那样,把方案两两比较,以所投票数的四分之三为准。每个方案都显示它直接作用于哪些根本原因、哪些没有、又使哪些更糟。
主持人可以开启方案比较。
我们预期接下来会发生什么
关于各项行动的预测:每项应改变什么、如何衡量、何时检查。到了那一天,曾在房间里的某个人会在旁边写下实际发生了什么。
为什么
地图说明哪些行动能撼动哪些原因。它不说明是否有人做了这些行动,也不说明是否有什么改变了。这里的每一条都是一项预测,带有日期和要衡量的东西,在地图定下后写成。日期到了,实际发生的情况会写在旁边,而预测保持原样:错误的预测才是有用的那种。没有人对这些投过票,它也不改变房间发现的任何东西。
到期:04 Oct 2027
行动Increasing housing supply will make it more affordable.
预期To decrease by 10% in the next 12 months
衡量指标Median housing price index
估计房间:200(18 人的中位数,范围 7 到 587587)