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7/7 · Akcije
osoba: 30 · ideja: 34
probni prolaz · ne računa se
prepreke · svako sa linkom · na javnom spisku · federacija uključena
vodi: njen voditelj (zapečaćeno)
osoba: 30 · ideja: 34 · 2 grupe · 3 sobe u federaciji
Pasoš → · Logika → · zapis
↗ podeli ovu mapu
Na drugom sajtu, kao živa mapa:
Kao slika: https://truecauses.org/d/df955de/map.svg
Kao podaci: svi ocenjeni parovi u ovoj sobi (CSV). Svaka tvrdnja ima svoju adresu, /c/df955de/<card>, navedenu ispod mape.
Navedite izvor kada objavljujete: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/df955de
PITANJE

Why do young people leave town to find a job?

Predložite šta da se uradi, pa procenite da li bi svaka akcija pomerila svaki koren.

Zapečaćeno pre 10 dana: ova soba više ne zna ko je sedeo u njoj; po imenu ostaje samo njen voditelj. Ono do čega je došla ostaje.
za stolom: 30 (simulirano: 29) · 3 predložene akcije za osnovne uzroke (6). Dodajte jednu, pa procenite da li svaka akcija pomera svaki uzrok.
Gledate kao gost. Unesite korisničko ime da biste se pridružili i učestvovali.
Neke tvrdnje utiču jedna na drugu u krug
↺ Recruiting takes the owner's evenings → The jobs here do not need what school taught → Careers advice is one afternoon in the final y → One bad placement cost us a week of a supervis → …
Krug može biti pravi nalaz — ciklus koji sam sebe hrani — ili veza čiji smer nikad nije zaista rešen. Mapa takav skup tretira kao jedan čvor, pa ništa unutar njega nije osnovni uzrok samo za sebe. Ako je posredi ovo drugo, vredi vratiti par sobi.
Najpre ocenite osnovne uzroke
zašto
Praksa same metode, pre nego što se predloži ijedna akcija: svaki osnovni uzrok dobija ocenu od 1 do 5 za to koliko je izvodljivo baviti se njime, koliki bi uticaj to imalo i koliko je verovatno da će se rešiti sam od sebe, bez ikakve intervencije. Prednost imaju osnovni uzroci sa velikim uticajem, visokom izvodljivošću i malom verovatnoćom da se reše sami — prioritet = uticaj + izvodljivost − verovatnoća. Ocene se uprosečuju za celu grupu i prikazuju uz broj onih koji su ocenjivali.
1 = nisko, 5 = visoko. Vaše ocene; pored njih proseci grupe.
osnovni uzrokizvodljivouticajrešava se samoprioritet
A driving licence is the real entry requirement and nobody says so––––
We asked to visit and never heard back––––
Young people leave and do not come back––––
We would take four a year if someone organised it––––
The last three we trained left within a year––––
The school sent us the pupils they wanted out of the building––––
Koja akcija bi pomerila koji osnovni uzrok?
Sa strane: akcije koje su ljudi predložili. Gore: osnovni uzroci koje je mapa pronašla. Svako polje je jedno glasanje o jednom pitanju — da li bi ova akcija značajno smanjila taj uzrok? Jedna strana mora da dostigne 75% datih glasova da bi se pitanje rešilo; inače polje ostaje podeljeno. Svako polje pokazuje kako su pali glasovi — da / gore / ne — a polje je rešeno kada jedno od toga dobije tri četvrtine glasova.
zašto
Odgovor važi na 75% datih glasova, kao i svako drugo pitanje ovde. Podeljeno znači da su ljudi glasali, a nijedna strana nije dostigla taj prag — to je rezultat, a ne red čekanja, i ostaje podeljeno dok se dovoljno ljudi ne predomisli. Polje koje niko ne reši ostaje neodlučeno; nikad ne postaje „ne”. Ocenjivanje svakog para posebno sprečava da se popularnoj akciji pripiše da rešava stvari koje ne dotiče.
AKCIJAOSNOVNI UZROCI · da li ga akcija u levoj koloni umanjuje?
A driving licence is the real entry requirement and nobody says soWe asked to visit and never heard backYoung people leave and do not come backWe would take four a year if someone organised itThe last three we trained left within a yearThe school sent us the pupils they wanted out of the building
Someone to convene the employers here, quarterly diskutuj✓ da, smanjuje ovo
22 da / 0 gore / 7 ne
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
24 da / 0 gore / 5 ne
još nije odlučeno
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
27 da / 0 gore / 2 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
7 da / 0 gore / 22 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
One named person in each school for employers to ring diskutuj✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
1 da / 0 gore / 28 ne
još nije odlučeno
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
25 da / 0 gore / 4 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
25 da / 0 gore / 4 ne
A shared apprentice pool across small firms diskutuj✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
⚑ grupa se podelila
8 da / 0 gore / 21 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
3 da / 0 gore / 26 ne
Najveći učinak zasad
Someone to convene the employers here, quarterly smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 3 od 6
One named person in each school for employers to ring smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 2 od 6
AKCIJE NA MAPI
Prikazano: sve akcije koje je soba ocenila. Direktno deluje na osnovne uzroke: 4 od 6. Bez direktne akcije: 2.
Pročitano samo iz polja koja je soba rešila u fazi Akcije. Osnovni uzrok u zelenom smanjuje bar jedna od prikazanih akcija; u sivom nijedna od njih ne deluje direktno na njega; crveni obrub znači da ga jedna od njih pogoršava.
Podelite ovaj prikaz: kao sliku · kao živu mapu za drugi sajt
A driving licence is the real entry requirement and nobody says so → Young people leave and do not come backA driving licence is the real entry requirement and nobody says so → We hire on attitude and cannot test for itRecruiting takes the owner's evenings → We cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothingRecruiting takes the owner's evenings → There is no single person in the school to ringThe jobs here do not need what school taught → One bad placement cost us a week of a supervisorThe jobs here do not need what school taught → We cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothingThe last three we trained left within a year → Careers advice is one afternoon in the final yearThe last three we trained left within a year → We cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothingWe would take four a year if someone organised it → The council asks us for skills forecasts we cannot makeCareers advice is one afternoon in the final year → Nobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroomThe council asks us for skills forecasts we cannot make → Nobody has ever asked us what we would need to take a school leaverYoung people leave and do not come back → The council asks us for skills forecasts we cannot makeThe school sent us the pupils they wanted out of the building → The jobs here do not need what school taughtThe school sent us the pupils they wanted out of the building → One bad placement cost us a week of a supervisorThe school sent us the pupils they wanted out of the building → There is no single person in the school to ringOne bad placement cost us a week of a supervisor → Recruiting takes the owner's eveningsOne bad placement cost us a week of a supervisor → We cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothingWe cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothing → Recruiting takes the owner's eveningsWe cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothing → The jobs here do not need what school taughtWe cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothing → Careers advice is one afternoon in the final yearWe cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothing → Nobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroomThere is no single person in the school to ring → The jobs here do not need what school taughtWe asked to visit and never heard back → Young people leave and do not come backNobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroom → The jobs here do not need what school taughtNobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroom → Half the applicants do not turn up to the interviewNobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroom → One bad placement cost us a week of a supervisorNobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroom → There is no single person in the school to ringNobody has ever asked us what we would need to take a school leaver → There is no employer group here that anyone convenesA driving licence is the real entry requirement and nobody says so ① Someone to convene the employers here, quarterlyA driving licence is thereal entry requirement andnobody says so①šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEThe last three we trained left within a yearThe last three we trainedleft within a yearšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAWe would take four a year if someone organised it ① Someone to convene the employers here, quarterly ② One named person in each school for employers to ringWe would take four a yearif someone organised it①②šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku2 AKCIJE GA SMANJUJUThe school sent us the pupils they wanted out of the building ② One named person in each school for employers to ringThe school sent us thepupils they wanted out ofthe building②šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEWe asked to visit and never heard back ① Someone to convene the employers here, quarterlyWe asked to visit and neverheard back①šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEYoung people leave and do not come backYoung people leave and donot come backšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGAThe jobs here do not need what school taughtThe jobs here do not needwhat school taughtdeo povratne petlje⟳One bad placement cost us a week of a supervisorOne bad placement cost us aweek of a supervisordeo povratne petlje⟳Recruiting takes the owner's eveningsRecruiting takes theowner's eveningsdeo povratne petlje⟳There is no single person in the school to ringThere is no single personin the school to ringdeo povratne petlje⟳Careers advice is one afternoon in the final yearCareers advice is oneafternoon in the final yeardeo povratne petlje⟳We cannot afford the time it takes to train someone from nothingWe cannot afford the timeit takes to train someonefrom nothingdeo povratne petlje⟳Nobody in a position to hire ever visits a classroomNobody in a position tohire ever visits aclassroomdeo povratne petlje⟳We hire on attitude and cannot test for itWe hire on attitude andcannot test for itThe council asks us for skills forecasts we cannot makeThe council asks us forskills forecasts we cannotmakeHalf the applicants do not turn up to the interviewHalf the applicants do notturn up to the interviewNobody has ever asked us what we would need to take a school leaverNobody has ever asked uswhat we would need to takea school leaverThere is no employer group here that anyone convenesThere is no employer grouphere that anyone convenes
Svaki broj na mapi označava osnovni uzrok koji ta akcija smanjuje.
① Someone to convene the employers here, quarterly
② One named person in each school for employers to ring
③ A shared apprentice pool across small firms
OD AKCIJA DO PLANA
Tabela je ocenila svaku akciju zasebno. Plan je skup akcija koje bi soba sprovela zajedno.
Članovi sastavljaju planove od akcija koje smanjuju neki osnovni uzrok, a soba poredi planove po dva, sa tri četvrtine datih glasova, kao što je ocenila i sve ostalo. Svaki plan pokazuje na koje osnovne uzroke direktno deluje, na koje ne i koje pogoršava.
Voditelj može da otvori poređenje planova.
Šta očekujemo da usledi
Predviđanja o akcijama: šta bi svaka trebalo da promeni, kako to izmeriti i kada proveriti. Tog datuma neko ko je bio u sobi upisuje pored predviđanja šta se zaista dogodilo.
zašto
Mapa kaže koje akcije pomeraju koje uzroke. Ne kaže da li ih je iko sproveo, niti da li se išta promenilo. Unos ovde je predviđanje sa datumom i nečim što se meri, napisano pošto je mapa rešena. Kada dođe taj datum, pored njega se upiše šta se zaista dogodilo, a predviđanje ostaje kakvo je bilo: pogrešno je upravo ono korisno. Niko nije glasao ni o čemu od ovoga i to ne menja ništa od onoga što je soba utvrdila.
rok: 24 Mar 2027
akcijaOne named person in each school for employers to ring
očekujemoan employer who wants to reach a school knows who to ring
meriloemployers who contacted the school in a term
procenesoba: 10 (medijana; procena: 15; raspon od 3 do 20)