True Causes
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From one group’s map to connections no single group could draw

True Causes does not ask one large group to agree. Small rooms each build their own causal map; the maps are then folded together, showing what several rooms found independently, what they disputed, and what only one room saw.

The rooms behind these maps are demos, run with stand-ins rather than real people.

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root cause, or a claim several rooms raised link found by several rooms link one room certified disputed⟳ part of a feedback loop

1. One room

11 claims · 9 links

One group, one question: Why do atrocities go unpunished? Each person proposed causes; the group then judged every shortlisted pair, does A significantly influence B?, and kept a link only when three quarters agreed. Deepest causes on the left, outcomes on the right.
Why it matters: a symptom such as warnings came too late is traced back to what produces it, so effort goes to the cause and not the patch. Nobody wins by talking loudest, because every link is voted on separately.

Speaking publicly ends the…CLUSTER 1Every state judges the caseby what it costs them⟳Naming it triggersobligations, so it is not…So the organisation that…⟳CLUSTER 1The same states arming aparty also vote on…Early warning systemsproduce reports nobody is…So warnings are hedgeduntil they are unarguable,…Acting early is politicallycostly and acting late is…Each summary removes thepart that would require…Evidence is gathered for atrial that may happen in…Warnings were clear monthsbefore anyone acted
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2. One question, several rooms

7 rooms · 38 claims · 35 links

Other rooms asked the same question in their own words, each on its own. Their maps fold into one: a claim several rooms raised independently is drawn once, in green (7 here), and a link more rooms certified is drawn thicker. No room had to agree with another for its map to count.
Why it matters: deliberation stops working in one big room, so it runs in many small ones and the maps are folded afterwards. A city can run a workshop in every neighbourhood, a company one in every region, and see which causes all of them found on their own, and which only one did.

Coverage decides which…⑤⑥REDUCED IN 1 OF 1 ROOMJustice is offered as a…⑦REDUCED IN 1 OF 1 ROOMA minister will not spend…1 ROOMThe same states arming a…5 ROOMSSpeaking publicly ends the…①④×5REDUCED IN 1 OF 5 ROOMSWe were warned to be…⑦REDUCED IN 1 OF 1 ROOMThe alternative to doing…⑥⑨REDUCED IN 1 OF 1 ROOMEarly warning systems…③④×5REDUCED IN 1 OF 5 ROOMSNaming it triggers…③④×5REDUCED IN 1 OF 5 ROOMSNobody coordinated, so we…⑧REDUCED IN 1 OF 1 ROOMNobody was ever sacked for…1 ROOMThe report was published i…1 ROOMWhat we know we cannot say…1 ROOMReform of the veto require…1 ROOMThe tools between words an…1 ROOMThe people in danger are…×7REDUCED IN 0 OF 1 ROOMOfficials are advised that…REDUCED IN 0 OF 1 ROOMEvidence is gathered for a…5 ROOMSSo warnings are hedged…5 ROOMSSanctions are slow, blunt,…1 ROOMDomestic politics decides…1 ROOMSo the safest position is …REDUCED IN 0 OF 1 ROOMAn ambassador's career is…1 ROOMBy the time it is…1 ROOMNobody offers the option…1 ROOMEvery state judges the cas…⟳①②×7REDUCED IN 2 OF 6 ROOMSSo the organisation that…⟳①③④×5REDUCED IN 1 OF 5 ROOMSThe people who decide have…1 ROOMEach summary removes the…5 ROOMSActing early is politicall…×7REDUCED IN 0 OF 6 ROOMSBalance is a property of…1 ROOMBeing from here is treated…1 ROOMEvery proposal is heard as…1 ROOMWarnings were clear months…77 ROOMSWe are asked to testify fo…1 ROOMOur own organisations are…1 ROOMA generation grows up in a…1 ROOMNobody came back to tell u…1 ROOM
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3. Every question

36 questions · the 35 most connected claims · 99 links

Zoom out once more and questions that look unrelated share causes. Where the same claim was raised under two questions, links certified in different rooms meet at it, and a connection appears that no single room could have drawn, because no room was asked both halves of it: 4 such links here.
Why it matters: problems are handled in silos, housing by one department, hospitals by another, while the same cause may be driving both. Seen together, the few causes that sit under many problems stand out, and those are where one change can help several at once. Every link was still certified by a room; the atlas only joins them where the same claim appears twice.

A single wage no longer…×4Why does a steady life take moThe jobs here do not need…⟳×3Why is there no work here for Filter bubbles provide…×2Why do people like filter bubbBeds are full because nobody…×3Why is the emergency departmenCompanies concentrate demand…Why is housing unaffordable inAlgorithms prioritize…Why do people like filter bubbPeople want to avoid…Why do people like filter bubbNobody in a position to hire…⟳×3Why is there no work here for Careers advice is one…⟳×3Why is there no work here for We cannot afford the time it…⟳Why do young people leave townBuilding anything takes year…×3Why has housing become so expeEvery state judges the case…×7Why do atrocities go unpunisheActing early is politically…×7Why do atrocities go unpunisheRents rise faster than wages…×3Why has housing become so expeHousing shortages are treate…Why is housing unaffordable inPeople enjoy having their…⟳Why do people like filter bubbPeople seek information that…⟳Why do people like filter bubbThey provide psychological…⟳Why do people like filter bubbPeople wait hours in a…×3Why is the emergency departmenAlgorithms prioritize…⟳×2Why do people like filter bubbPeople crave confirmation of…⟳Why do people like filter bubbPeople feel good when…⟳Why do people like filter bubbPeople prefer comfort and…⟳Why do people like filter bubbPeople want to feel validate…⟳Why do people like filter bubbThey reduce the effort neede…⟳×2Why do people like filter bubbThey seek comfort and…⟳Why do people like filter bubbYoung people leave and do no…×3Why is there no work here for Assets rose faster than wage…×3Why does a steady life take moDevelopers have an incentive…Why is housing unaffordable inResidents voting may not wan…Why is housing unaffordable inThe same patients come back…×3Why is the emergency departmenPeople feel safe and secure…Why do people like filter bubbThe things that used to be…×3Why does a steady life take moPeople who work in the city…Why is housing unaffordable inTransportation costs offset…Why is housing unaffordable in
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What this makes possible

Public policy
Many local workshops on one issue, folded into one map that shows which causes the groups found independently.
Organisations
Teams in different places map the same failure separately; the merge shows if they share a bottleneck.
Across agencies
Groups that never meet map a crisis from their own side; the atlas shows where their causes connect.
Research
Every link, vote count and room is on the record, so a finding can be checked, cited and repeated.

Ready for a real question?

Run a room with your team, your organisation or your community, or several rooms at once. Each builds its own map; the merge shows which causes they share and where they differ.

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