True Causes
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En otro sitio, como mapa en vivo:
Como imagen: https://truecauses.org/d/e74d06f/map.svg
Como datos: todos los pares juzgados en esta sala (CSV). Cada afirmación tiene su propia dirección, /c/e74d06f/<card>, listada bajo el mapa.
Cita al publicar: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/e74d06f
LA PREGUNTA

Why does a lie travel further than the truth?

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Nobody is compensated for having been correct
I mean this as an observation; I would want it tested.
Nadie ha dicho nada aún.
Trust falls further from the concealment than it ever would from the error
Peer review is three unpaid people on a deadline
Fraud is found by volunteers on the internet, years later
Being unable to reproduce a result is not itself publishable
The cost of dissent is paid by individuals and the benefit is public
I mean this as an observation; I would want it tested.
Each revision is announced as if it were the position all along
To be precise: this is about the mechanism, not anyone's motives.
conjunto 1discutir
So institutions treat all criticism as one category and answer none of it
You cannot check a claim whose data is not released
conjunto 5discutir
Replication is unfunded and therefore rare
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
Nobody keeps a public record of which official claims were later revised
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
conjunto 4discutir
Once labelled, a claim cannot get a hearing even when the evidence changes
Meaning the general pattern, not one case.
conjunto 5discutir
Institutions investigate themselves and find nothing
conjunto 3discutir
The bodies that issue guidance also fund those who check it
Platforms enforce the label long after the institution has quietly moved
I mean this as an observation; I would want it tested.
There is no body whose job is to be wrong-footed early
Most of the people qualified to check are inside the system being checked
conjunto 6discutir
The label 'misinformation' is applied to claims that later proved right
Being wrong in public costs an institution more than being slow
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
conjunto 2discutir
A correction arrives long after the decision it should have changed
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
A career is ended by being right too soon
The reply is that release would be misinterpreted by the public
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
A paper that contradicts the field is reviewed harder than one that confirms it
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
People who were punished for being early are never acknowledged
Scope: the last two decades, not all history.
conjunto 6discutir
The few outside are dismissed as cranks by association
Requests for data are answered eighteen months later, if at all
conjunto 1discutir
The archive of the old guidance disappears from the website
A researcher who audits a funder's work loses the funder
Journalists do not have the specialism to notice a quiet change
There is no mechanism to un-label a claim that turned out to be true
To be precise: this is about the mechanism, not anyone's motives.
Guidance was stated more confidently than the evidence supported
conjunto 2discutir
Nobody is compensated for having been correct
I mean this as an observation; I would want it tested.
The inquiry reports after everyone involved has retired
Narrower than it reads — the wider claim is someone else's card.
Reviewers are chosen from the same small group
The correction is technically public and effectively invisible
A genuine critic and a bad-faith one look identical from a distance