True Causes
SR
← početna
7/7 · Akcije
osoba: 30 · ideja: 28
probni prolaz · ne računa se
prepreke · svako sa linkom · na javnom spisku · federacija uključena
vodi: njen voditelj (zapečaćeno)
osoba: 30 · ideja: 28 · 2 grupe
Pasoš → · Logika → · zapis
↗ podeli ovu mapu
Na drugom sajtu, kao živa mapa:
Kao slika: https://truecauses.org/d/435cc33/map.svg
Kao podaci: svi ocenjeni parovi u ovoj sobi (CSV). Svaka tvrdnja ima svoju adresu, /c/435cc33/<card>, navedenu ispod mape.
Navedite izvor kada objavljujete: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/435cc33
PITANJE

Why does school attendance keep falling?

Predložite šta da se uradi, pa procenite da li bi svaka akcija pomerila svaki koren.

Zapečaćeno pre 23 dana: ova soba više ne zna ko je sedeo u njoj; po imenu ostaje samo njen voditelj. Ono do čega je došla ostaje.
za stolom: 30 (simulirano: 29) · 3 predložene akcije za osnovne uzroke (6). Dodajte jednu, pa procenite da li svaka akcija pomera svaki uzrok.
Gledate kao gost. Unesite korisničko ime da biste se pridružili i učestvovali.
3 kruga u kojima tvrdnje utiču jedna na drugu
↺ Parents contact the school only when the schoo → Break is fifteen minutes and the queue for foo → Anxiety is the reason given most, and there is
↺ Toilets are locked during lessons and some pup → Teachers mark a late arrival the same as a ful
↺ Older siblings' history with the school s → Fines are issued to families who cannot pay th → Some families keep children home on days they → Letters home are the same template whatever th
Krug može biti pravi nalaz — ciklus koji sam sebe hrani — ili veza čiji smer nikad nije zaista rešen. Mapa takav skup tretira kao jedan čvor, pa ništa unutar njega nije osnovni uzrok samo za sebe. Ako je posredi ovo drugo, vredi vratiti par sobi.
Najpre ocenite osnovne uzroke
zašto
Praksa same metode, pre nego što se predloži ijedna akcija: svaki osnovni uzrok dobija ocenu od 1 do 5 za to koliko je izvodljivo baviti se njime, koliki bi uticaj to imalo i koliko je verovatno da će se rešiti sam od sebe, bez ikakve intervencije. Prednost imaju osnovni uzroci sa velikim uticajem, visokom izvodljivošću i malom verovatnoćom da se reše sami — prioritet = uticaj + izvodljivost − verovatnoća. Ocene se uprosečuju za celu grupu i prikazuju uz broj onih koji su ocenjivali.
1 = nisko, 5 = visoko. Vaše ocene; pored njih proseci grupe.
osnovni uzrokizvodljivouticajrešava se samoprioritet
Parents contact the school only when the school has contacted them first––––
Anxiety is the reason given most, and there is a waiting list to see anyone––––
Pupils say nobody would notice if they were not there––––
Break is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longer––––
The first lesson on Monday is the most missed of the week––––
Nobody at school knows which pupils are young carers––––
Koja akcija bi pomerila koji osnovni uzrok?
Sa strane: akcije koje su ljudi predložili. Gore: osnovni uzroci koje je mapa pronašla. Svako polje je jedno glasanje o jednom pitanju — da li bi ova akcija značajno smanjila taj uzrok? Jedna strana mora da dostigne 75% datih glasova da bi se pitanje rešilo; inače polje ostaje podeljeno. Svako polje pokazuje kako su pali glasovi — da / gore / ne — a polje je rešeno kada jedno od toga dobije tri četvrtine glasova.
zašto
Odgovor važi na 75% datih glasova, kao i svako drugo pitanje ovde. Podeljeno znači da su ljudi glasali, a nijedna strana nije dostigla taj prag — to je rezultat, a ne red čekanja, i ostaje podeljeno dok se dovoljno ljudi ne predomisli. Polje koje niko ne reši ostaje neodlučeno; nikad ne postaje „ne”. Ocenjivanje svakog para posebno sprečava da se popularnoj akciji pripiše da rešava stvari koje ne dotiče.
AKCIJAOSNOVNI UZROCI · da li ga akcija u levoj koloni umanjuje?
Parents contact the school only when the school has contacted them firstAnxiety is the reason given most, and there is a waiting list to see anyonePupils say nobody would notice if they were not thereBreak is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longerThe first lesson on Monday is the most missed of the weekNobody at school knows which pupils are young carers
First contact home for any absence is a phone call that asks why, made by someone the pupil knows diskutuj✓ da, smanjuje ovo
25 da / 0 gore / 4 ne
⚑ grupa se podelila
8 da / 0 gore / 21 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
2 da / 0 gore / 27 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
4 da / 0 gore / 25 ne
Publish who is missing by year and reason, not one percentage diskutuj✓ da, smanjuje ovo
23 da / 0 gore / 6 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
3 da / 0 gore / 26 ne
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
3 da / 0 gore / 26 ne
⚑ grupa se podelila
8 da / 0 gore / 21 ne
još nije odlučeno
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
26 da / 0 gore / 3 ne
A return plan for every absence over a week, owned by a named adult diskutuj✓ da, smanjuje ovo
26 da / 0 gore / 3 ne
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
25 da / 0 gore / 4 ne
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
25 da / 0 gore / 4 ne
✓ da, smanjuje ovo
26 da / 0 gore / 3 ne
još nije odlučeno
✗ ne, ne smanjuje
5 da / 0 gore / 24 ne
Najveći učinak zasad
A return plan for every absence over a week, owned by a named adult smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 4 od 6
Publish who is missing by year and reason, not one percentage smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 2 od 6
First contact home for any absence is a phone call that asks why, made by someone the pupil knows smanjuje osnovne uzroke: 1 od 6
AKCIJE NA MAPI
Prikazano: sve akcije koje je soba ocenila. Direktno deluje na osnovne uzroke: 5 od 6. Bez direktne akcije: 1.
Pročitano samo iz polja koja je soba rešila u fazi Akcije. Osnovni uzrok u zelenom smanjuje bar jedna od prikazanih akcija; u sivom nijedna od njih ne deluje direktno na njega; crveni obrub znači da ga jedna od njih pogoršava.
Podelite ovaj prikaz: kao sliku · kao živu mapu za drugi sajt
Toilets are locked during lessons and some pupils will not risk it → Reintegration after a long absence is left to the pupilToilets are locked during lessons and some pupils will not risk it → Teachers mark a late arrival the same as a full absencePupils say nobody would notice if they were not there → Toilets are locked during lessons and some pupils will not risk itNobody at school knows which pupils are young carers → Reintegration after a long absence is left to the pupilOlder siblings' history with the school shapes the family's attitude → Some families keep children home on days they cannot afford lunchFines are issued to families who cannot pay them → Older siblings' history with the school shapes the family's attitudeFines are issued to families who cannot pay them → Some families keep children home on days they cannot afford lunchCover lessons with a supply teacher are the ones pupils skip → Pupils who fall behind stop coming rather than sit in lessons they cannot followParents contact the school only when the school has contacted them first → Anxiety is the reason given most, and there is a waiting list to see anyoneSome families keep children home on days they cannot afford lunch → Letters home are the same template whatever the reason for absenceSome families keep children home on days they cannot afford lunch → A pupil's absence record follows them but the reasons do notReintegration after a long absence is left to the pupil → Pupils who fall behind stop coming rather than sit in lessons they cannot followBreak is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longer → Toilets are locked during lessons and some pupils will not risk itBreak is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longer → Parents contact the school only when the school has contacted them firstBreak is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longer → Anxiety is the reason given most, and there is a waiting list to see anyoneLetters home are the same template whatever the reason for absence → Older siblings' history with the school shapes the family's attitudeLetters home are the same template whatever the reason for absence → Fines are issued to families who cannot pay themLetters home are the same template whatever the reason for absence → A pupil's absence record follows them but the reasons do notAnxiety is the reason given most, and there is a waiting list to see anyone → Break is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longerTeachers mark a late arrival the same as a full absence → Toilets are locked during lessons and some pupils will not risk itTeachers mark a late arrival the same as a full absence → Reintegration after a long absence is left to the pupilThe first lesson on Monday is the most missed of the week → Letters home are the same template whatever the reason for absencePupils say nobody would notice if they were not there ③ A return plan for every absence over a week, owned by a named adultPupils say nobody wouldnotice if they were notthere③šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJENobody at school knows which pupils are young carers ② Publish who is missing by year and reason, not one percentageNobody at school knowswhich pupils are youngcarers②šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJECover lessons with a supply teacher are the ones pupils skipCover lessons with a supplyteacher are the ones pupilsskipParents contact the school only when the school has contacted them first ① First contact home for any absence is a phone call that asks why, made by someone the pupil knows ② Publish who is missing by year and reason, not one percentage ③ A return plan for every absence over a week, owned by a named adultParents contact the schoolonly when the school hascontacted them firstdeo povratne petlje⟳①②③šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku3 AKCIJE GA SMANJUJUBreak is fifteen minutes and the queue for food is longer ③ A return plan for every absence over a week, owned by a named adultBreak is fifteen minutesand the queue for food islongerdeo povratne petlje⟳③šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEAnxiety is the reason given most, and there is a waiting list to see anyone ③ A return plan for every absence over a week, owned by a named adultAnxiety is the reason givenmost, and there is awaiting list to see anyonedeo povratne petlje⟳③šta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzroku1 AKCIJA GA SMANJUJEThe first lesson on Monday is the most missed of the weekThe first lesson on Mondayis the most missed of theweekšta prikazane akcije čine ovom osnovnom uzrokuNIJEDNA AKCIJA NE DELUJEDIREKTNO NA NJEGASome families keep children home on days they cannot afford lunchSome families keep childrenhome on days they cannotafford lunchdeo povratne petlje⟳Letters home are the same template whatever the reason for absenceLetters home are the sametemplate whatever thereason for absencedeo povratne petlje⟳Older siblings' history with the school shapes the family's attitudeOlder siblings' historywith the school shapes thefamily's attitudedeo povratne petlje⟳Fines are issued to families who cannot pay themFines are issued tofamilies who cannot paythemdeo povratne petlje⟳Teachers mark a late arrival the same as a full absenceTeachers mark a latearrival the same as a fullabsencedeo povratne petlje⟳Toilets are locked during lessons and some pupils will not risk itToilets are locked duringlessons and some pupilswill not risk itdeo povratne petlje⟳A pupil's absence record follows them but the reasons do notA pupil's absence recordfollows them but thereasons do notReintegration after a long absence is left to the pupilReintegration after a longabsence is left to thepupilPupils who fall behind stop coming rather than sit in lessons they cannot followPupils who fall behind stopcoming rather than sit inlessons they cannot follow
Svaki broj na mapi označava osnovni uzrok koji ta akcija smanjuje.
① First contact home for any absence is a phone call that asks why, made by someone the pupil knows
② Publish who is missing by year and reason, not one percentage
③ A return plan for every absence over a week, owned by a named adult
OD AKCIJA DO PLANA
Tabela je ocenila svaku akciju zasebno. Plan je skup akcija koje bi soba sprovela zajedno.
Članovi sastavljaju planove od akcija koje smanjuju neki osnovni uzrok, a soba poredi planove po dva, sa tri četvrtine datih glasova, kao što je ocenila i sve ostalo. Svaki plan pokazuje na koje osnovne uzroke direktno deluje, na koje ne i koje pogoršava.
Voditelj može da otvori poređenje planova.
Šta očekujemo da usledi
Predviđanja o akcijama: šta bi svaka trebalo da promeni, kako to izmeriti i kada proveriti. Tog datuma neko ko je bio u sobi upisuje pored predviđanja šta se zaista dogodilo.
zašto
Mapa kaže koje akcije pomeraju koje uzroke. Ne kaže da li ih je iko sproveo, niti da li se išta promenilo. Unos ovde je predviđanje sa datumom i nečim što se meri, napisano pošto je mapa rešena. Kada dođe taj datum, pored njega se upiše šta se zaista dogodilo, a predviđanje ostaje kakvo je bilo: pogrešno je upravo ono korisno. Niko nije glasao ni o čemu od ovoga i to ne menja ništa od onoga što je soba utvrdila.
rok: 24 Dec 2026
akcijaFirst contact home for any absence is a phone call that asks why, made by someone the pupil knows
očekujemoweekly absence falls once the first call home asks why rather than reports the absence
merilo% of enrolled pupils absent in a week
procenesoba: 12 (medijana; procena: 15; raspon od 9 do 25)