True Causes
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30 pipo · 42 ideas
tap any stage wey don finish to look am well
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Map
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Actions
demo · dem no dey count am
wetin dey block · anybodi wey get di link · e dey public list · federation dey on
na di room coordinator (sealed) dey coordinate am
30 pipo · 42 ideas · 2 groups · 2 rooms e don join federation
Passport → · Logic → · record
↗ share dis map
For anoda website, as live map:
As picture: https://truecauses.org/d/a0141f0/map.svg
As data: evri pair wey dem judge for dis room (CSV). Each claim get im own address, /c/a0141f0/<card>, wey dey listed under di map.
Credit wen you publish: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/a0141f0
DI QUESTION

Why are deliveries late?

Propose wetin to do, den judge whether each action go move each root.

Dem seal am 40 days ago: dis room no sabi again who sit inside am; na only im coordinator name still dey. Wetin e conclude go remain.
30 dey di table (29 na simulation) · 3 actions don come against 6 root causes. Add one, den judge whether each action dey move each cause.
You dey look as guest. Enter username to join and take part.
2 groups of claims dey affect each oda for circle
↺ A short pick is recorded as complete so the li → Small errors are hidden to avoid blame → Two products with almost the same code sit on → Picks are wrong often enough that customers no → …
↺ Fixes are patched locally and never shared → Targets reward speed over accuracy
Circle fit be real finding — cycle wey dey feed imself — or link wey dem no really settle im direction. Di map dey treat di group as one node, so notin inside am na root on im own. If na di second one, e worth am to put di pair back to di room.
Score di roots first
why
Di method own practice, bifor anybodi propose any action: dem dey score each root cause 1–5 on how e fit work to tackle am, how much impact to tackle am go get, and how likely e go resolve by imself without anybodi do anytin. Priority dey go to roots wey get high impact, high chance to work, and low chance to fix demself — priority = impact + e fit work − e go fix imself. Dem dey average di scores across di group and show dem with how many pipo score.
1 = low, 5 = high. Your own scores; di group averages dey beside dem.
root causee fit workimpacte go fix imselfpriority
The best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zone––––
The handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scans––––
The forecast is made by people who never see a peak––––
New staff copy bad habits from old hands––––
Peak-hour load exceeds planned capacity––––
We measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes––––
Each action go move each root cause?
For di side: di actions wey pipo propose. For di top: di root causes wey di map find. Evri square na one vote on one question — dis action go reduce dat cause well-well? One side must reach 75% of di votes wey dem cast to settle am; if e no reach, di square go remain divided. Each square dey show how im votes fall — yes / worse / no — and square don settle wen one of dem reach three quarters of di votes.
why
Dem answer am at 75% of di votes wey dem cast, like evri oda question here. Divide mean say pipo vote and no side reach dat bar — na result, no be queue, and e go remain divided until enough pipo change dia mind. Square wey nobodi settle go remain undecided; e no dey ever turn to no. To judge each pair on im own na wetin dey stop pipo from giving popular action credit say e fix tins wey e no touch.
ACTIONROOT CAUSES · di action for left dey reduce am?
The best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zoneThe handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scansThe forecast is made by people who never see a peakNew staff copy bad habits from old handsPeak-hour load exceeds planned capacityWe measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes
Refresh training every quarter, not once discussdem neva decide
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
26 yes / 0 worse / 3 no
✗ no, e no dey reduce am
3 yes / 0 worse / 26 no
✗ no, e no dey reduce am
3 yes / 0 worse / 26 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
23 yes / 0 worse / 6 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
23 yes / 0 worse / 6 no
Rotate a planner onto the floor each week discussdem neva decide
✗ no, e no dey reduce am
5 yes / 0 worse / 24 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
25 yes / 0 worse / 4 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
22 yes / 0 worse / 7 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
27 yes / 0 worse / 2 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
26 yes / 0 worse / 3 no
One owner per recurring failure, named publicly discussdem neva decide
✗ no, e no dey reduce am
6 yes / 0 worse / 23 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
22 yes / 0 worse / 7 no
✓ yes, e dey reduce dis one
24 yes / 0 worse / 5 no
✗ no, e no dey reduce am
2 yes / 0 worse / 27 no
✗ no, e no dey reduce am
6 yes / 0 worse / 23 no
Di one wey get di biggest leverage so far
Rotate a planner onto the floor each week e dey reduce 4 out of 6 root causes
Refresh training every quarter, not once e dey reduce 3 out of 6 root causes
One owner per recurring failure, named publicly e dey reduce 2 out of 6 root causes
DI ACTIONS FOR DI MAP
E dey show evri action wey di room judge: e dey touch 5 out of di 6 root causes directly. E no dey touch 1 directly.
Dem read am from di squares wey di room settle for Actions, notin else. Root wey dey green, at least one of di actions wey show dey reduce am; for grey, none of dem dey touch am directly; red outline mean say one of dem dey make am worse.
We measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes → Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rackA short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving → Small errors are hidden to avoid blameA short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletNew staff copy bad habits from old hands → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletSmall errors are hidden to avoid blame → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingSmall errors are hidden to avoid blame → Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rackFixes are patched locally and never shared → We spend more time fixing errors than we would preventing themFixes are patched locally and never shared → Targets reward speed over accuracyPeak-hour load exceeds planned capacity → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletPeak-hour load exceeds planned capacity → Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exceptionThe best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zone → Fixes are patched locally and never sharedThe handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scans → Targets reward speed over accuracyTwo products with almost the same code sit on the same rack → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletTargets reward speed over accuracy → Fixes are patched locally and never sharedTargets reward speed over accuracy → Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrappedSupervisors are measured on dispatch time and nothing else → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingPicks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingPicks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet → Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exceptionThe forecast is made by people who never see a peak → Targets reward speed over accuracyOvertime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exception → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingWe measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes ① Refresh training every quarter, not once ② Rotate a planner onto the floor each weekWe measure errors perorder, so a bigger orderhides more mistakes①②wetin di actions wey show dey do to dis root cause2 ACTIONS DEY REDUCE AMNew staff copy bad habits from old hands ② Rotate a planner onto the floor each week ③ One owner per recurring failure, named publiclyNew staff copy bad habitsfrom old hands②③wetin di actions wey show dey do to dis root cause2 ACTIONS DEY REDUCE AMPeak-hour load exceeds planned capacity ① Refresh training every quarter, not once ② Rotate a planner onto the floor each weekPeak-hour load exceedsplanned capacity①②wetin di actions wey show dey do to dis root cause2 ACTIONS DEY REDUCE AMThe best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zoneThe best pickers are movedto whatever is late, sonobody learns a zonewetin di actions wey show dey do to dis root causeNO ACTION DEY TOUCH AMDIRECTLYThe handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scans ① Refresh training every quarter, not onceThe handheld takes fourseconds to confirm, sopeople batch their scans①wetin di actions wey show dey do to dis root cause1 ACTION DEY REDUCE AMSupervisors are measured on dispatch time and nothing elseSupervisors are measured ondispatch time and nothingelseThe forecast is made by people who never see a peak ② Rotate a planner onto the floor each week ③ One owner per recurring failure, named publiclyThe forecast is made bypeople who never see a peak②③wetin di actions wey show dey do to dis root cause2 ACTIONS DEY REDUCE AMTargets reward speed over accuracyTargets reward speed overaccuracye dey inside feedback loop⟳Fixes are patched locally and never sharedFixes are patched locallyand never sharede dey inside feedback loop⟳A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingA short pick is recorded ascomplete so the line keepsmovinge dey inside feedback loop⟳Small errors are hidden to avoid blameSmall errors are hidden toavoid blamee dey inside feedback loop⟳Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rackTwo products with almostthe same code sit on thesame racke dey inside feedback loop⟳Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exceptionOvertime is the normal waywe finish a week, not theexceptione dey inside feedback loop⟳Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletPicks are wrong oftenenough that customers nowcheck every pallete dey inside feedback loop⟳Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrappedNobody checks a palletbefore it is wrappedWe spend more time fixing errors than we would preventing themWe spend more time fixingerrors than we wouldpreventing them
Each number for di map show one root cause wey dat action dey reduce.
① Refresh training every quarter, not once
② Rotate a planner onto the floor each week
③ One owner per recurring failure, named publicly
FROM ACTIONS TO PLAN
Di grid judge each action on im own. Plan na set of actions wey di room go carry out togeda.
Members dey put plans togeda from di actions wey dey reduce root cause, and di room dey compare di plans two by two, at three quarters of di votes wey dem cast, as e judge evritin else. Each plan dey show di root causes wey e dey touch directly, di ones wey e no dey touch, and di ones wey e dey make worse.
Di coordinator fit open plan comparison.
Wetin we expect say go follow
Predictions about di actions: wetin each one suppose change, how to measure am, and wen to check. For di date, somebodi wey bin dey di room go write wetin really happen beside am.
why
Map dey show which actions dey move which causes. E no dey show whether anybodi do dem, or whether anytin change. Entry here na prediction wey get date and sometin to measure, wey dem write afta di map settle. Wen di date reach, dem go write wetin really happen beside am and di prediction go stay as e be: di one wey wrong na di useful kain. Nobodi vote on any of dis and e no change anytin wey di room find.
e due 24 Dec 2026
actionRefresh training every quarter, not once
we dey expectfewer wrong picks once a planner has stood where the picking happens
dem measure am bypicking errors per 1,000 lines
guessesdi room: 6 (median of 15, from 2 reach 14)
WETIN NEXT
Wetin dis room find na di starting point for anoda kain map. Each round wey dey below go open as new room with di same pipo, wey don already enter, and wetin carry over go dey for im wall or beside am. Round dey fast pass first room: nobodi need join, di question don ready, di cards wey carry over don already get explanation, and any stage wey no get work again go close at once. Anoda round fit follow one round.
Actions · di root causes na wetin dem dey judge di actions against; actions wey move one don already dey di wall
Wetin we suppose do about di root causes wey we find, and wetin first?
Di coordinator go open di next round; your seat go carry over.