True Causes
PCM

Root cause analysis

Root cause analysis na di habit to dey ask why sometin go wrong until di answer no dey shift again. Fix di root and di symptoms wey dey on top go comot with am; fix symptom and e go come back. Quality management, IT incident response, patient safety and aviation all dey demand one afta failure. Di methods dey differ mainly for who dey do di reasoning.

Di methods

Five whys
Ask “why” about di failure, den about di answer, five times. One pesin or small team. E fast and e cheap, and e dey find one chain of causes — di one wey di pesin wey dey ask don already suspect. E good for single incident wey get single mechanism; e weak wia causes dey affect each oda.
Fishbone (Ishikawa) diagram
Causes wey dem sort into categories — pipo, process, equipment, materials, environment — wey dem draw as bones from one spine. Facilitator dey fill am from di group suggestions. E wide pass as e deep: e dey list candidates but e no dey tok anytin about which causes dey affect which.
Fault tree analysis
Logic tree from top go down, from di failure through AND/OR gates reach basic events. E strict for engineered systems wia dem know di components and how dem dey fail. Na analyst dey build am; e need data wey di social world no dey usually get.
Pareto analysis
Count di incidents by category and fix di categories wey cause most of dem. E dey show wia di pain dey, no be wetin dey cause am — na triage tool, no be tool to find cause.
Structured Democratic Dialogue
Di pipo wey dey live with di problem dey write di causes wey fit be, explain dem, den judge — one pair at a time, at 75% bar — whether each cause get big hand for di oda one. Algorithm dey arrange di answers into influence map (interpretive structural modelling), and di causes wey dey di bottom of di map na di roots. Fifty years of practice, hundreds of dialogues wey dem document. Na wetin dis site dey run.

Wen group dey beat di analyst

One question dey decide. Anybodi for di room know di cause? If machine fail, engineer wey get di logs go find why fast pass fifteen pipo wey dey vote. If deliveries dey late, patients dey wait, school dey lose teachers or town dey lose trust, di causes dey spread among di pipo wey dey involved — di night shift know one, di dispatcher know anoda, di customer know di third — and no analyst hold all of dem. Den di method must collect di causes from evribodi and let evribodi judge di links, or e go find only wetin di analyst don already believe.

Two findings from di research dey explain why plain group discussion no dey do dis one either. Pipo wey dem ask make dem rank causes by importance bifor dem examine di links between dem dey rank dem wrong — di erroneous priorities effect — and group wey dem ask for im views dey spread dem so wide dat notin get majority — spreadthink. Dem build structured dialogue around di two: no ranking until dem don judge di links, and dem dey judge links one at a time by supermajority.

Wetin good root cause analysis dey produce

Di seven-stage template · Example wey we work out with real numbers · How dis site dey run am for any number of groups