True Causes
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On another site, as a live map:
As a picture: https://truecauses.org/d/a0141f0/map.svg
As data: every judged pair in this room (CSV). Each claim has its own address, /c/a0141f0/<card>, listed under the map.
Credit when you publish: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/a0141f0
THE QUESTION

Why are deliveries late?

The root causes, deepest first. Disagreements stay on the map.

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This room’s map
Root causes on the left, outlined in green. Tap a claim to see its chain.
a link the room certified contested: the room could not settle it
We measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes → Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rackA short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving → Small errors are hidden to avoid blameA short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletNew staff copy bad habits from old hands → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletSmall errors are hidden to avoid blame → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingSmall errors are hidden to avoid blame → Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rackFixes are patched locally and never shared → We spend more time fixing errors than we would preventing themFixes are patched locally and never shared → Targets reward speed over accuracyPeak-hour load exceeds planned capacity → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletPeak-hour load exceeds planned capacity → Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exceptionThe best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zon → Fixes are patched locally and never sharedThe handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scan → Targets reward speed over accuracyTwo products with almost the same code sit on the same rack → Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletTargets reward speed over accuracy → Fixes are patched locally and never sharedTargets reward speed over accuracy → Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrappedSupervisors are measured on dispatch time and nothing else → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingPicks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingPicks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet → Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exceptionThe forecast is made by people who never see a peak → Targets reward speed over accuracyOvertime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exception → A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingWe measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakesWe measure errors perorder, so a bigger order…New staff copy bad habits from old handsNew staff copy bad habits…clusterCLUSTER 1Peak-hour load exceeds planned capacityPeak-hour load exceeds…clusterCLUSTER 3The best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zonThe best pickers are movedto whatever is late, so…The handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scanThe handheld takes fourseconds to confirm, so…Supervisors are measured on dispatch time and nothing elseSupervisors are measured ondispatch time and nothing…The forecast is made by people who never see a peakThe forecast is made bypeople who never see a peakTargets reward speed over accuracyTargets reward speed overaccuracypart of a feedback loop⟳Fixes are patched locally and never sharedFixes are patched locallyand never sharedpart of a feedback loop⟳A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps movingA short pick is recorded ascomplete so the line keeps…part of a feedback loop⟳Small errors are hidden to avoid blameSmall errors are hidden to…part of a feedback loop⟳clusterCLUSTER 4Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rackTwo products with almostthe same code sit on the…part of a feedback loop⟳Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exceptionOvertime is the normal waywe finish a week, not the…part of a feedback loop⟳Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every palletPicks are wrong often…part of a feedback loop⟳clusterCLUSTER 5Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrappedNobody checks a palletbefore it is wrappedWe spend more time fixing errors than we would preventing themWe spend more time fixingerrors than we would…
Every claim on this map, with its own address (16)
The forecast is made by people who never see a peak
Targets reward speed over accuracy
The best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zone
Fixes are patched locally and never shared
We spend more time fixing errors than we would preventing them
Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrapped
The handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scans
Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet
Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exception
A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving
Peak-hour load exceeds planned capacity
Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rack
Small errors are hidden to avoid blame
New staff copy bad habits from old hands
We measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes
Supervisors are measured on dispatch time and nothing else
Each page says what the room certified around the claim, with the counts, and can be cited, embedded, or read as JSON.
The merged map
Folded from 2 rooms (all demos).
why
Every room on this question built its own map; these are folded into one. The same claim raised in two rooms is one item, and each link shows how many rooms found it. Where rooms found opposite things, each finding stands, with how many of the rooms that judged the link found it.
The rooms certified 35 links between them, but no link was found by more than one independent source (rooms that share a source, or vote as one, count once), so there is no shared map yet. Each room’s own map stands alone: Why do our lorries never leave on time? (15), Why are deliveries late? (20). A shared map appears when two rooms certify the same link; a card that travels between rooms during Generate is what makes that possible.
THE ROOMS IN THIS MAP
Why do our lorries never leave on time?settled after another room's map was already readable · 08 Sep 23:01
⚠ demo · 7 cards word for word the same as in “Why are deliveries late?”
counts its verdicts weigh on this map — steward trusted by this instance
Why are deliveries late?settled while no map on this question could be read · 08 Sep 23:00
demo · stands 1 vouch from its source, trusted steward admin
⚠ demo · 7 cards word for word the same as in “Why do our lorries never leave on time?”
counts its verdicts weigh on this map — vouched for by the steward of “Why do our lorries never leave on time?”
A room counts once someone accountable stands behind it. ● settled before any map was public; ○ after.
RAISED IN MORE THAN ONE ROOM · 7
Data lives in three systems that disagree2 roomson the map
Agency staff are on site for three days and never see the layout twice2 roomsnot on the map: no link to it was certified
Targets reward speed over accuracy2 roomson the map
The site was designed for half the volume it now handles2 roomsnot on the map: no link to it was certified
Handovers between shifts lose key details2 roomson the map
Small errors are hidden to avoid blame2 roomson the map
Supervisors are measured on dispatch time and nothing else2 roomson the map
WHAT THE ROOMS WOULD DO
Each room judged its own actions against its own root causes, at three quarters of its own votes. Nothing here is a vote across rooms: it counts, cause by cause, what each room found. A room appears once its Actions stage has closed. Each number on the map marks a root cause that action reduces.
The causes the most rooms raised, “Handovers between shifts lose key details”, “Targets reward speed over accuracy” (2 rooms each), have no action against them in any room.
Reduced in 1 of 1 room:
New staff copy bad habits from old hands
① Rotate a planner onto the floor each week · Why are deliveries late?
② One owner per recurring failure, named publicly · Why are deliveries late?
Nobody has ever been thanked for catching an error
③ Publish the four worst locations and fix the racking · Why do our lorries never leave on time?
Peak-hour load exceeds planned capacity
① Rotate a planner onto the floor each week · Why are deliveries late?
④ Refresh training every quarter, not once · Why are deliveries late?
The forecast is made by people who never see a peak
① Rotate a planner onto the floor each week · Why are deliveries late?
② One owner per recurring failure, named publicly · Why are deliveries late?
The handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scans
④ Refresh training every quarter, not once · Why are deliveries late?
The induction is a video nobody watches to the end
⑤ Pay the ten minutes for a proper handover · Why do our lorries never leave on time?
We measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes
① Rotate a planner onto the floor each week · Why are deliveries late?
④ Refresh training every quarter, not once · Why are deliveries late?
No room found an action that reduces these:
  • Handovers between shifts lose key details · judged in 1 room
  • Nobody has costed what an error actually costs us · judged in 1 room
  • Targets reward speed over accuracy · judged in 1 room
  • The best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zone · judged in 1 room
  • The trolleys are too small for the orders we now get · judged in 1 room
FOUND BY 1 ROOM · 35
Nobody has costed what an error actually costs us→An error is only an error if the customer notices
→Targets reward speed over accuracy
→Pickers are ranked against each other on a screen by the door
Nobody has ever been thanked for catching an error→Returns are put back on the shelf without being checked
→Small errors are hidden to avoid blame
Peak-hour load exceeds planned capacity→Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exception
→Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet
The induction is a video nobody watches to the end→Handovers between shifts lose key details
→The scanner and the label printer disagree about leading zeros
The trolleys are too small for the orders we now get→New product codes arrive without anyone being told what changed
→Targets reward speed over accuracy
A picker who slows down to check is beaten by one who does not→Small errors are hidden to avoid blame
New staff copy bad habits from old hands→Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet
Nobody is paid for the ten minutes it takes to do a handover properly→New product codes arrive without anyone being told what changed
Supervisors are measured on dispatch time and nothing else→A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving
The best pickers are moved to whatever is late, so nobody learns a zon→Fixes are patched locally and never shared
The forecast is made by people who never see a peak→Targets reward speed over accuracy
The handheld takes four seconds to confirm, so people batch their scan→Targets reward speed over accuracy
The system says a location is empty when a pallet is sitting in it→Data lives in three systems that disagree
We measure errors per order, so a bigger order hides more mistakes→Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rack
Targets reward speed over accuracy⇄Fixes are patched locally and never shared
→Nobody checks a pallet before it is wrapped
→Pickers are ranked against each other on a screen by the door
A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving⇄Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet
⇄Small errors are hidden to avoid blame
Fixes are patched locally and never shared⇄Targets reward speed over accuracy
→We spend more time fixing errors than we would preventing them
Handovers between shifts lose key details→Nobody reconciles what left the building with what was ordered
→The scanner and the label printer disagree about leading zeros
Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet⇄A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving
→Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exception
Small errors are hidden to avoid blame⇄A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving
→Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rack
Overtime is the normal way we finish a week, not the exception→A short pick is recorded as complete so the line keeps moving
Two products with almost the same code sit on the same rack→Picks are wrong often enough that customers now check every pallet