True Causes
EN
← lobby
7/7 · Actions
30 people · 32 ideas
walkthrough · not counted
obstacles · anyone with the link · listed publicly · federation on
stewarded by its steward (sealed)
30 people · 32 ideas · 2 groups · 3 rooms federated
Passport → · Logic → · record
↗ share this map
On another site, as a live map:
As a picture: https://truecauses.org/d/b8be723/map.svg
As data: every judged pair in this room (CSV). Each claim has its own address, /c/b8be723/<card>, listed under the map.
Credit when you publish: Causal map: True Causes, https://truecauses.org/d/b8be723
THE QUESTION

Why does a steady life take more than it used to?

Propose what to do, then judge whether each action would move each root.

Sealed 20 days ago: this room no longer knows who sat in it; only its steward is still named. What it concluded stays.
30 at the table (29 simulated) · 3 actions proposed against 6 root causes. Add one, then judge whether each action moves each cause.
Viewing as guest. Enter a handle to join and take part.
Some claims influence each other in a circle
↺ Energy, rent and insurance tripled and the inv → Assets rose faster than wages for four decades → Every cost that rose was passed to us and coul
A circle can be a real finding — a cycle that feeds itself — or a link whose direction was never really settled. The map treats the group as one node, so nothing inside it is a root on its own. If it is the second, the pair is worth putting back to the room.
Score the roots first
why
The method's own practice, before any action is proposed: each root cause is scored 1–5 on how feasible it is to address, how much impact addressing it would have, and how likely it is to resolve by itself with no intervention. Priority goes to roots with high impact, high feasibility and low likelihood of fixing themselves — priority = impact + feasibility − likelihood. Scores are averaged across the group and shown with how many scored.
1 = low, 5 = high. Your own scores; the group's averages beside them.
root causefeasibleimpactfixes itselfpriority
A large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close us––––
Employers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cut––––
The rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first place––––
Every new rule consolidates the market a little more––––
A machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liability––––
Hiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgage––––
Would each action move each root cause?
Down the side: the actions people proposed. Across the top: the root causes the map found. Every square is one vote on one question — would this action significantly reduce that cause? One side has to reach 75% of the votes cast to settle it; short of that the square stays split. Each square shows how its votes fell — yes / worse / no — and a square is settled when one of those reaches three quarters of them.
why
Answered at 75% of votes cast, like every other question here. Split means people voted and neither side reached that bar — it is a result, not a queue, and it stays split until enough people change their minds. A square nobody settles stays undecided; it never turns into a no. Judging each pair on its own is what stops a popular action being credited with fixing things it does not touch.
ACTIONROOT CAUSES · does the action on the left reduce it?
A large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close usEmployers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cutThe rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first placeEvery new rule consolidates the market a little moreA machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liabilityHiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgage
Scale compliance to the size of the firm discuss✗ no, it does not
1 yes / 0 worse / 28 no
not decided yet
✗ no, it does not
3 yes / 0 worse / 26 no
not decided yet
not decided yet
not decided yet
Enforce payment terms on large buyers discuss✓ yes, it reduces this
23 yes / 0 worse / 6 no
not decided yet
✗ no, it does not
0 yes / 0 worse / 29 no
not decided yet
not decided yet
not decided yet
Tax people and machines on the same basis discuss✗ no, it does not
6 yes / 0 worse / 23 no
not decided yet
✗ no, it does not
2 yes / 0 worse / 27 no
not decided yet
not decided yet
not decided yet
Highest leverage so far
Enforce payment terms on large buyers reduces 1 of 6 root causes
THE ACTIONS ON THE MAP
Showing every action the room judged: it acts directly on 1 of the 6 root causes. It does not act directly on 5.
Read from the squares the room settled at Actions, nothing else. A root in green is reduced by at least one of the shown actions; in grey, none of them acts on it directly; a red outline means one of them makes it worse.
Consolidation removes the employer competition that raised wages → A single wage no longer supports a householdConsolidation removes the employer competition that raised wages → Cash flow, not profit, decides whether anyone is hiredNobody in a ministry has ever met a payroll → What used to be a job is now a series of contractsSo nobody trains and everyone complains about skills → What used to be a job is now a series of contractsSo nobody trains and everyone complains about skills → We would pay more if the work carried the priceEmployers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cut → A machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liabilityThe things that used to be bought once are now rented forever → So nobody trains and everyone complains about skillsEnergy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did not → Consolidation removes the employer competition that raised wagesEnergy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did not → Every cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed onEvery new rule consolidates the market a little more → Energy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did notThe rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first place → Business representation is dominated by firms unlike oursThe rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first place → Hiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgageA machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liability → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesAssets rose faster than wages for four decades → Energy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did notAssets rose faster than wages for four decades → Every cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed onHiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgage → So we use contracts and agencies and everyone losesA large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close us → Employers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cutA large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close us → Every new rule consolidates the market a little moreEvery cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed on → Assets rose faster than wages for four decadesSo we use contracts and agencies and everyone loses → So nobody trains and everyone complains about skillsNobody in a ministry has ever met a payrollNobody in a ministry hasever met a payrollThe things that used to be bought once are now rented foreverThe things that used to bebought once are now rentedforeverThe rules make dismissal costly, so we do not hire in the first placeThe rules make dismissalcostly, so we do not hirein the first placewhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYA large competitor can absorb a regulation that would close us ② Enforce payment terms on large buyersA large competitor canabsorb a regulation thatwould close us②what the shown actions do to this root causeREDUCED BY 1 ACTIONEmployers' taxes are charged on the person, so people are the thing to cutEmployers' taxes arecharged on the person, sopeople are the thing to cutwhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYEvery new rule consolidates the market a little moreEvery new rule consolidatesthe market a little morewhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYBusiness representation is dominated by firms unlike oursBusiness representation isdominated by firms unlikeoursHiring someone permanently now feels like signing a mortgageHiring someone permanentlynow feels like signing amortgagewhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYA machine is a capital allowance and a worker is a liabilityA machine is a capitalallowance and a worker is aliabilitywhat the shown actions do to this root causeNO ACTION ACTS ON ITDIRECTLYSo we use contracts and agencies and everyone losesSo we use contracts andagencies and everyone losesAssets rose faster than wages for four decadesAssets rose faster thanwages for four decadespart of a feedback loop⟳Every cost that rose was passed to us and could not be passed onEvery cost that rose waspassed to us and could notbe passed onpart of a feedback loop⟳Energy, rent and insurance tripled and the invoice did notEnergy, rent and insurancetripled and the invoice didnotpart of a feedback loop⟳So nobody trains and everyone complains about skillsSo nobody trains andeveryone complains aboutskillsConsolidation removes the employer competition that raised wagesConsolidation removes theemployer competition thatraised wagesWe would pay more if the work carried the priceWe would pay more if thework carried the priceWhat used to be a job is now a series of contractsWhat used to be a job isnow a series of contractsA single wage no longer supports a householdA single wage no longersupports a householdCash flow, not profit, decides whether anyone is hiredCash flow, not profit,decides whether anyone ishired
Each number on the map marks a root cause that action reduces.
① Scale compliance to the size of the firm
② Enforce payment terms on large buyers
③ Tax people and machines on the same basis
What we expect to follow
Predictions about the actions: what each should change, how to measure it, and when to check. On the date, someone who was in the room writes what actually happened beside it.
why
A map says which actions move which causes. It does not say whether anyone did them, or whether anything changed. An entry here is a prediction with a date and something to measure, written after the map settled. When the date comes, what actually happened is written beside it and the prediction stays as it was: a wrong one is the useful kind. Nobody voted on any of this and it changes nothing the room found.
due 22 Jun 2027
actionEnforce payment terms on large buyers
we expecta small firm can plan on being paid when it was promised
measured by% of invoices from large buyers paid within terms
guessesthe room: 60 (median of 15, spread 35 to 85)